LRC 22nd day winter meeting analysis, predictions

 

My Analysis & Predictions for 22nd Lahore Winter Meeting 2025-2026

Asher Butt

Race-by-Race Predictions

Race 1 - Class VII Division-VI&VII (Maiden) - 1000m - 12:00 Noon

Field: Raees Sahib 9, Fazeel The Great 4, Gold Nation 11, Sea of Class 8, Faryum 2, Abdullah Pasur 5, Augustus 6, Tiger of Sultan 10, Fateh Gher 7, Majesty 3, Thunder Lady 12

My Predictions:

Favourite: Fazeel The Great (4) - 8-12 record shows consistency

Place: Augustus (6) - 7-12 solid performer

Fluke: Faryum (2) - 7-8, could surprise being lightly weighted

Reason: Fazeel The Great has the best winning percentage (4 wins from 12 starts, 33%). Augustus shows consistency with 6 wins. Book favors Sea of Class, but I prefer proven winners in maiden divisions.

Book predictions

favourite Sea Of Class, place Augustus, fluke Fazeel The Great

 

Race 2 - Class VII Division-VI&VII - 1000m - 12:35 PM

Field: Zaman Sahib 10, Naveed-e-Sehar 8, Lucky Macs 5, Ahni Power 3, Khizer Choice 2, Lex Lugar 4, Malfnood JR 6, Self Belief 12, Gallop In Glory 11, American Star 7, Lahif 9, (+4 All)

My Predictions:

Favourite: Zaman Sahib (10) - 9-0 unbeaten record

Place: Naveed-e-Sehar (8) - 8-12 experienced

Fluke: American Star (7) - 8-0, perfect record

Reason: Zaman Sahib's unbeaten 9-0 record is outstanding. American Star also unbeaten (8-0) and could upset. Agree with book on this one.

Book predictions

favourite Zaman Sahib, place Naveed-e-Saher, fluke Lex Lugar

 

Race 3 - Class VII Division-IV&V - 1000m - 1:10 PM

Field: PrincessAnaya(Krc) 10, Pakiza 5, Shahan Shah 6, Royal Stone 7, Emerging Star 9, Paddington 3, Imperius 2, Thunder Boy 8, Red Chilli 4

My Predictions:

Favourite: Pakiza (5) - 8-12 most experienced

Place: Royal Stone (7) - 8-2 strong place record

Fluke: Shahan Shah (6) - 8-4, capable of surprise

Reason: Pakiza's experience advantage in this field. Royal Stone's 8-2 record shows consistency in placing. Book prediction aligns well.

Book predictions

3rd race: favourite Pakiza, place Red Chilli, fluke Shahanshah

 

Race 4 - Class VI Division-III&IV - 1200m - 1:45 PM

Field: Ceaser 4, Hi Volt 6, Nawab Prince(Krc) 8, Quality Street 2, Luna Afzaal 7, Feel My Love 3, Princess Noor 5, (+4 All)

My Predictions:

Favourite: Quality Street (2) - 8-4 solid record

Place: Ceaser (4) - 8-10 experienced

Fluke: Luna Afzaal (7) - 8-2 could surprise

Reason: Quality Street shows better winning percentage. Book favors "Feel My Love" (not clearly identified in field), so I'm going with Quality Street's proven record.

Book predictions

favourite Feel my live, place Ceaser, fluke High Volt

 

Race 5 - The Shalimar Cup (4-year-old Colts) - 1200m - 2:20 PM ⭐ FEATURED RACE

Field: American Gambler 3, Golden Choice 7, Lord & Lion 5, Mister Sardar 2, Sajal 4, Tez Tareen 6

My Predictions:

Favourite: American Gambler (3) - 8-7 best record

Place: Golden Choice (7) - 8-0 unbeaten

Fluke: Sajal (4) - 8-0 also unbeaten

Reason: This is interesting! Two unbeaten horses (Golden Choice 8-0, Sajal 8-0) versus proven winner American Gambler (8-7). American Gambler has faced tougher competition. Golden Choice unbeaten status makes it dangerous. This race could go either way.

Book predictions

favourite American Gambler, place, fluke Load and Lion

 

Race 6 - Class VII Division-II (Maiden) - 1200m - 2:55 PM

Field: Golden Star 6, Maya 8, Frankie 5, Prince of Dawaud 9, Syemed Queen 7, Dubawi's Dream 3, Shibra 10, Bellafrix 8, Asif Princess 2

My Predictions:

Favourite: Maya (8) - 8-6 best maiden record

Place: Golden Star (6) - 8-10 most experienced

Fluke: Syemed Queen (7) - 8-5 capable

Reason: Maya has better winning ratio than Golden Star despite fewer runs. In maidens, class often shows through experience.

Book predictions

favourite Golden Star, place Maya, fluke

 

Race 7 - Class VII Division-I - 1200m - 3:30 PM

Field: Public Star 4, New York City 6, Specialist 2, Sher Khan 3, Pretty Girl 7, Power Show 5, Golden Girl 8, (-2)

My Predictions:

Favourite: Public Star (4) - 9-0 unbeaten

Place: New York City (6) - 8-8 consistent

Fluke: Pretty Girl (7) - 7-12 experience edge

Reason: Public Star's unbeaten record is decisive. Book agrees. New York City's consistency earns place.

Book predictions

favourite Public Star, place Power Show, fluke Specialist

 

Race 8 - Class VIII Division-II&III - 1000m - 4:05 PM

Field: Flash 6, Falco 10, Moni Prince 7, Samore City 8, Khokhar One 3, Zohan The Thunder 2, Little Master 5, Waqat 4, Haseeb Thunder 9

My Predictions:

Favourite: Flash (6) - 9-0 unbeaten

Place: Moni Prince (7) - 8-10 experienced

Fluke: Samore City (8) - 8-10 equally capable

 

Reason: Flash's perfect record makes it standout. Moni Prince and Samore City both 8-10, so this is competitive for place/show positions.

Book predictions

favourite Flash, place Zohan The Thunder, fluke Khokkar One

 

Summary Comparison with Book Predictions

Agreements: Races 2, 3, 7, 8 (mostly aligned)

Disagreements: Races 1, 4, 5, 6 (different favorites or place horses)

Key Insights:

 

Unbeaten horses (9-0, 8-0 records) are strong favorites

Experience matters more in maiden races

Race 5 (Shalimar Cup) is most competitive with multiple unbeaten contenders