38th day — LRC full race-by-race analysis

 

38th Day — Lahore Winter Meeting 2025–26 Sunday, 24th May 2026 · Five Races · All Class VII ·

 

Asher Butt

Sunday, 24th May 2026  |  5 Races  |  All Class VII  |  First Race 7:00 PM

Race 1 · 7:00 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden — New Entrants) — 1000mMaiden

Field of 11

No Book Prediction all new entrants

My Fav Chahal King

My Place Gondal's Height

My Fluke Lex Lugar

My reasoning — purely on weights

A pure new entrants maiden over 1000m — no form whatsoever to consult and no book prediction provided. The weights are the only guide. Chahal King and Gondal's Height both carry 9-0, the joint top weight in the field, and that allocation in a new entrants race typically reflects the trainer's confidence and the horse's physical development. Between the two, Chahal King gets the nod as my Fav ourite on the draw and gate position. Gondal's Height is my Place  — sharing top weight, it has equal claim to feature. Lex Lugar at 8-12 sits just below the top pair and carries enough weight to suggest substance without the full burden — a classic Fluke  profile in a maiden. Roxy (8-11) and Quiz (8-10) are also respected in a wide-open heat.

1	Chahal King (9-0)	My Fav  — joint top wt
2	Gondal's Height (9-0)	My Place  — joint top wt
3	Roxy (8-11)
4	Quiz (8-10)
5	Mohtarma (8-7)
6	Barbaro (8-10)
7	Mumraiz The Great (8-2)
8	Hassan Star (8-0)
9	Bilal One (7-10)
10	Fateh One (7-10)
11	Lex Lugar (8-12)	My Fluke  — 3rd highest wt

Race 2 · 7:35 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden) — 1000mMaiden

Field of 8

Book Fav Sea Of Class

Book Place Princess Arooj

Book Fluke Power Up

My Fav Mirza Prince

My Place Dogar Choice

My Fluke Sea Of Class

My reasoning

Sea Of Class has now been the book's Fav ourite across three consecutive meetings without winning — it ran second on the 36th day but has yet to obligate as the market leader. The book persists with it, and while that loyalty is not without logic, the weight argument pulls against it here. Mirza Prince carries 9-0 — outright top weight in an eight-horse maiden — and in a 1000m maiden that carries the strongest signal available. My Fav ourite is Mirza Prince. Dogar Choice at 8-11 is the second highest weight and has the profile of a consistent Place r in maiden company — my Place . Sea Of Class at 8-2 drops to my Fluke ; the book's persistent faith means it cannot be ignored entirely, but three meetings as Fav ourite without winning demands a demotion in assessment.

1	Mirza Prince (9-0)	My Fav  — top weight
2	Dogar Choice (8-11)	My Place  — 2nd highest wt
3	Power Up (8-6)	Book Fluke
4	Princess Arooj (7-12)	Book Place
5	Sea Of Class (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Fluke
6	Good Boy (7-10)
7	Shera Choice (8-0)
8	Miller (8-0)

Race 3 · 8:10 PM Class VII Div V, VI & VII — 1000m

Field of 13

Book Fav Construct Craft

Book Place Piyari

Book Fluke Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Fav Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Place Construct Craft

My Fluke Zindagi

My reasoning

Fakhar-e-Sardar (9-2) carries the outright top weight in a thirteen-horse field — a very emphatic allocation in a multi-division race over 1000m. The book lists it as Fluke ; personal analysis promotes it directly to Fav ourite. This is the same argument applied successfully to Emerging Star (9-2) on the 36th day — that race's top weight won from the book's Fluke  position. History is repeating the pattern. Construct Craft is a reliable performer and the book's Fav ourite; it drops to my Place  — it will compete but the weight concession to Fakhar-e-Sardar is considerable. Zindagi (8-2) is a horse that has appeared on multiple cards in this division; in a thirteen-runner field it can sneak into the frame as my Fluke .

1	Fakhar-e-Sardar (9-2)	Book Fluke  / My Fav  — top wt
2	Sher Dil (8-12)
3	Fayyum (7-8)
4	Construct Craft (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Place
5	Piyari (8-2)	Book Place
6	Lucky Macs (8-2)
7	Zindagi (8-2)	My Fluke
8	Construct Craft (7-12)
9	Zindagi (8-10)
10	Silent Melody (7-8)
11	Gallop In Glory (7-8)
12	Gallop In Glory (7-8)
13	King Asia (8-10)

Race 4 · 8:45 PM Class VII Div II & III — 1000m

Field of 7 (+4)

Book Fav Sarkar Raj

Book Place Pakiza

Book Fluke Samore City

My Fav Samore City

My Place Sarkar Raj

My Fluke Ustrana Love

My reasoning

Samore City (8-6) is the book's Fluke  but it Place d in the Summer Cup last time — a horse that competed in the cup race and ran into a placing has class to spare over Division II & III company. The book Place d it as Fluke  after a cup run; I elevate it to Fav ourite. Sarkar Raj won in the Summer Cup from a complete outsider position and now returns to its natural division — a cup winner dropping back into class races is always a strong force, making it my Place . Pakiza (8-4) is the book's Place  and a consistent runner; Ustrana Love (8-2) has been running in this company and is my Fluke  — in a seven-horse field the unexpected can always emerge.

1	Samore City (8-6)	Book Fluke  / My Fav
2	Sarkar Raj (8-4)	Book Fav  / My Place
3	Pakiza (8-4)	Book Place
4	Falco (8-6)
5	Ustrana Love (8-2)	My Fluke
6	Metro Queen (8-0)
7	Little Master (8-0)	+4

Race 5 · 9:20 PM Class VII Div IV & V — 1000m

Field of 8

Book Fav Absolutely Not

Book Place Raja The Great

Book Fluke Haseeb Warrior

My Fav Taj Mahal

My Place Absolutely Not

My Fluke Zaman Sahib

My reasoning

Taj Mahal (9-0) carries the outright top weight in this eight-horse Division IV & V field. The book makes Absolutely Not (8-6) its Fav ourite — a 6-pound concession to the top weight over 1000m. Taj Mahal has not featured prominently in the book's selections but the weight allocation is unambiguous. My Fav ourite is Taj Mahal. Absolutely Not has been a consistent performer and narrowly missed in the 37th day as my own Fav ourite — it drops to my Place  rather than being abandoned. Zaman Sahib (8-6) is the three-time recent winner of this meeting — consecutive victories on the 36th and 37th days — and the book now Place s it as an afterthought in Fluke  territory. That winning momentum over 1000m cannot be ignored, making it my Fluke . A horse that has won back-to-back rarely stops at two.

1	Taj Mahal (9-0)	My Fav  — outright top wt
2	Absolutely Not (8-6)	Book Fav  / My Place
3	Zaman Sahib (8-6)	My Fluke  — 2× winner
4	Raja The Great (8-2)	Book Place
5	Zaid Prince (8-2)
6	Bellatrix (8-4)
7	Haseeb Warrior (7-10)	Book Fluke
8	Absolutely Not (7-10)

 

---

Race 1 — Class VII Div VI & VII New Entrants Maiden, 1000m, Field of 11 · 7:00 PM

A pure new entrants maiden is the most speculative race on any card — no horse has run before, no form exists, and the weights alone must carry the entire analytical burden. With no book prediction provided for this race, the exercise becomes a clean weight-reading exercise. Chahal King and Gondal's Height share the joint top weight of 9-0 in an eleven-horse field. In a first-career race over 1000 metres, the trainer's decision to present a horse at maximum weight typically reflects physical maturity and readiness — these are the two horses that connections and the handicapper believe are most developed. Chahal King gets the slight nod as my Fav ourite based on gate position; Gondal's Height is the Place . Lex Lugar at 8-12 sits just below the joint top pair and is the natural Fluke  selection — third highest weight, sufficient bulk to compete, but carrying enough of a concession to be the overlooked candidate. The danger zone in any new entrants race is the mid-weight horses between 8-4 and 8-7, which can outrun both the heavily burdened leaders and the lightweights — Roxy (8-11) and Barbaro (8-10) both merit watching.

Race 2 — Class VII Div VI & VII Maiden, 1000m, Field of 8 · 7:35 PM

Sea Of Class has now been the book's maiden Fav ourite across the 35th, 36th, and 37th days consecutively. It ran second on the 36th day — the closest it has come — but has yet to win from the top market position. Three successive meetings as Fav ourite without a win is a meaningful data point, and the weight argument here makes the demotion straightforward. Mirza Prince carries 9-0, the outright top weight in an eight-horse maiden, and must be the Fav ourite on that basis alone. Dogar Choice at 8-11 is a clear second, carrying enough weight to suggest the handicapper rates it highly for a maiden. Sea Of Class at 8-2 concedes seven pounds to Mirza Prince over 1000 metres — that is a substantial ask without a previous winning run to prove it can overcome such a deficit. It becomes my Fluke  — the book's persistent faith across three meetings cannot be entirely dismissed, but as Fav ourite it has had its chances. Power Up, the book's Fluke  at 8-6, is also live in what remains a genuinely competitive eight-horse maiden.

Race 3 — Class VII Div V, VI & VII, 1000m, Field of 13 · 8:10 PM

The biggest field of the day at thirteen runners across three divisions, and the standout analytical call of the card. Fakhar-e-Sardar carries 9-2 — the outright top weight in the field, a full 10 pounds clear of most of the mid-field. The book calls it the Fluke . This is precisely the same scenario that played out on the 36th day when Emerging Star carried 9-2 as the book's Fluke  and personal analysis elevated it to Fav ourite — it won outright. The pattern across this entire meeting has been consistent: when a horse carries significantly more weight than its market position suggests, the handicapper is right and the book is wrong. Fakhar-e-Sardar has also been finishing in the Place d positions across multiple meetings — second in Race 2 on the 35th day as my promoted Fav ourite, third on the 33rd day — and the consistent near-miss form combined with top weight now makes it the strongest selection on the card. Construct Craft is a reliable Division VI performer and becomes my Place . Zindagi in a thirteen-horse field at 8-2 is the natural Fluke  — enough weight to compete, overlooked enough to surprise.

Race 4 — Class VII Div II & III, 1000m, Field of 7 (+4) · 8:45 PM

Race 4 features two horses with strong recent form credentials. Sarkar Raj won the Summer Cup from a completely unexpected position last week — a horse that wins a cup race from outside all predictions then drops back into its natural division is a formidable proposition. However the book installs it as Fav ourite, and when the market has already fully recognised a horse's recent cup win, the price and expectation may not match the reality of returning to class company. Samore City Place d in that same Summer Cup and brings cup-race fitness into a Division II & III field — the book calls it the Fluke , but a horse with cup credibility in this company is far more than a Fluke . My Fav ourite is Samore City; Sarkar Raj becomes my Place . Ustrana Love is my Fluke  — consistent enough at this level to gate-crash the frame in a relatively small field.

Race 5 — Class VII Div IV & V, 1000m, Field of 8 · 9:20 PM

The evening finale features the most compelling weight case on the entire card. Taj Mahal carries 9-0 — the outright top weight in an eight-horse Division IV & V race over 1000 metres. The book makes Absolutely Not (8-6) its Fav ourite, conceding six pounds to the top weight. That concession over a full kilometre in this division is the book's most questionable call of the day. Taj Mahal is my Fav ourite without reservation.

The subplot here is Zaman Sahib, which has won back-to-back races on the 36th and 37th days — a remarkable consecutive winning streak. The book now quietly lists it as a Fluke , almost as if embarrassed by its own underestimation. A horse that has won two races in succession over the same trip deserves more than Fluke  status, and it becomes my Fluke  with the full expectation that it will feature in the frame. Absolutely Not, which was my own promoted Fav ourite on the 37th day and ran second behind Zaman Sahib, drops neatly to my Place  — it is the consistent second force in this division and should Place  again. The race between Taj Mahal, Absolutely Not, and Zaman Sahib should produce the most competitive finish of the day.

LRC 37th day winter meet expectation

 

37th Day — Lahore Winter Meeting 2025–26 Sunday, 17th May 2026 · Five Races · All Class VII

By Asher Butt

Race 1 · 7:00 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden) — 900m Maiden

Field of 9 (+3)

Book Fav Sea Of Class

Book Place True Promise

Book Fluke Bilal One

My Fav Mohtarma

My Place True Promise

My Fluke Sea Of Class

My reasoning

Mohtarma carries 9-0 — the outright top weight in this maiden field by a clear margin. On the 36th day Sea Of Class ran second as a maiden Fav ourite; it has since been Place d and the book continues to back it, but it carries only 7-4 here, conceding a full 10 pounds to Mohtarma. In a maiden over 900m, that weight concession is difficult to overcome. True Promise (8-13) is my Place  — it has appeared on multiple cards without winning and the consistent near-miss profile suggests a Place  is its most likely outcome. Sea Of Class drops to my Fluke ; the book's confidence in it across two meetings is not without foundation, and if the weight theory fails, it is the most likely beneficiary.

1	Mohtarma (9-0)	My Fav  — outright top wt
2	True Promise (8-13)	Book Place  / My Place
3	Bilal Love (8-9)
4	Hassan Star (8-5)
5	True My Love (8-5)
6	Barbaro (8-4)
7	Sea Of Class (7-4)	Book Fav  / My Fluke
8	Shera Choice (7-12)
9	Bilal One (7-11)	Book Fluke   +3

Race 2 · 7:35 PM Class VII Div VI & VII — 900m

Field of 8

Book Fav Sher Dil

Book Place American Star

Book Fluke Haseeb Thrill

My Fav Sher Dil

My Place Self Belief

My Fluke Gallop In Glory

My reasoning

Sher Dil (8-10) carries joint top weight alongside Self Belief and Haseeb Thrill — but Sher Dil has demonstrated enough consistent form across this season to be trusted as Fav ourite, and the book is correct. Agreement is full on the top selection. I diverge on the Place : Self Belief (8-6) won Race 1 on the 34th day outright and has been running in this division since — a proven winner in the company deserves a Place  slot ahead of American Star (8-6). Gallop In Glory (8-6) is my Fluke  — three horses sit on the same 8-6 weight and in a sprint over 900m, any one of them can land. Gallop In Glory is the least expected of the three, making it the natural Fluke  pick.

1	Sher Dil (8-10)	Book & My Fav  — top wt
2	Self Belief (8-6)	My Place  — prev. winner
3	Haseeb Thrill (8-6)	Book Fluke
4	American Star (8-6)	Book Place
5	Star Crown (8-6)
6	Gallop In Glory (8-6)	My Fluke
7	Silent Melody (8-6)
8	Sosig Go (8-6)

Race 3 · 8:10 PM Class VII Div III & IV — 900m

Field of 6

Book Fav Safe Bet

Book Place Haseeb Warrior

Book Fluke Cinderella's Dream

My Fav Cinderella's Dream

My Place Metro Queen

My Fluke Safe Bet

My reasoning

Cinderella's Dream (8-10) and Metro Queen (8-10) share top weight in this six-horse field, yet the book makes Safe Bet (8-2) its Fav ourite — an 8-pound concession to the top two horses. In a tight six-runner Division III & IV race over 900m, that weight gap is a meaningful disadvantage. I promote Cinderella's Dream to my Fav ourite — it has been knocking on the door across recent meetings, listed as Fluke  twice, and the weight now fully supports a winning claim. Metro Queen, sharing that top weight, is my Place . Safe Bet drops to my Fluke  — the book's logic may rest on form, and in a small field Safe Bet retains every chance to surprise, just not as the top selection.

1	Cinderella's Dream (8-10)	Book Fluke  / My Fav
2	Metro Queen (8-10)	My Place  — joint top wt
3	Emerging Star (8-8)
4	Haseeb Warrior (8-2)	Book Place
5	Safe Bet (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Fluke
6	Safe Bet (8-2)

Race 4 · 8:45 PM The Summer Cup — Class VII Div I, II & III — 1000mCup

Field of 8

Book Fav Chaman

Book Place Falco

Book Fluke Mayya

My Fav Mayya

My Place Chaman

My Fluke Cinderella's Dream

My reasoning

The Summer Cup is the card's prestige event and the weight structure here tells a compelling story. Mayya (9-2) and Cinderella's Dream (8-10) lead the weights. The book makes Chaman (8-2) its Fav ourite — a horse carrying 14 pounds less than Mayya in the feature cup race. That concession in a term event over 1000m at the higher division levels is very difficult to justify. Mayya is my Fav ourite — it carries the authority of top weight in a cup, which across this entire season has proven a reliable indicator. Chaman drops to my Place ; the book's faith in it is not unfounded and it will be competitive. Cinderella's Dream (8-10) is my Fluke  — second highest weight in the field and a horse that has been elevated through the divisions with consistent near-misses; a cup run from a strong weight could finally see it land.

1	Mayya (9-2)	Book Fluke  / My Fav  — top wt
2	Chaman (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Place
3	Cinderella's Dream (8-10)	My Fluke  — 2nd top wt
4	Ustrana Love (8-2)
5	Moni Ka Rehman (8-8)
6	Pakiza (8-0)
7	Sarkar Raj (7-12)
8	Falco (8-6)	Book Place
9	Gul-e-Jalal (7-10)

Race 5 · 9:20 PM Class VII Div V — 900m

Field of 8

Book Fav Zaman Sahib

Book Place Fakhar-e-Sardar

Book Fluke Absolutely Not

My Fav Absolutely Not

My Place Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Fluke Zaman Sahib

My reasoning

Absolutely Not (9-0) is the outright top weight in this eight-horse Division V finale — carrying the maximum and, crucially, it has form as an upset winner earlier in this meeting. The book calls it the Fluke ; personal analysis makes it the Fav ourite. Zaman Sahib won the 36th day as the sole correct Fav ourite of that card and the book returns to it again — but now carrying 8-10 as second weight after a well-publicised victory, the handicapper and market will have both adjusted. Fakhar-e-Sardar (8-12) is consistent and reliable for Place  — agreement with the book on that slot. Zaman Sahib drops to my Fluke : a horse that just won, now facing revised weights and sharpened opposition, can find the Place d positions more attainable than a repeat win.

1	Absolutely Not (9-0)	Book Fluke  / My Fav  — top wt
2	Fakhar-e-Sardar (8-12)	Book & My Place
3	Zaman Sahib (8-10)	Book Fav  / My Fluke
4	Piyari (8-2)
5	Ammara's Dream (8-2)
6	Fayyum (8-4)
7	Babbar Sher (7-10)
8	Tiger of Sultan (7-10)

 

Full Race-by-Race Analysis — 37th Day

 

Race 1 — Class VII Div VI & VII Maiden, 900m, Field of 9 (+3) · 7:00 PM

A second successive maiden opener for the meeting, and the same fundamental challenge applies — without a form run to reference, the weights carry maximum authority. Mohtarma is the clear top weight at 9-0, the outright highest on the card, while the book's Fav ourite Sea Of Class carries just 7-4. That is a 10-pound concession in a maiden over 900 metres — a very significant ask for any horse without a previous run to prove it can overcome such a weight deficit. The book's continued faith in Sea Of Class across two meetings suggests paddock quality or breeding information that may not be visible in the weights alone, but the handicapper's assessment of Mohtarma must take priority.

True Promise (8-13) is a horse that has featured consistently across multiple cards without winning — that pattern points to a Place  rather than a win, and both book and personal analysis agree on that. Sea Of Class drops to my Fluke : if the book is correct about its ability, a placing remains the most likely outcome even if the Fav ourite call is too bold. Bilal One, the book's Fluke  at 7-11, is the lightweight outsider with the longest odds of featuring.

Race 2 — Class VII Div VI & VII, 900m, Field of 8 · 7:35 PM

Race 2 features the most intriguing weight cluster of the day — six horses all carrying 8-6, with Sher Dil and Self Belief above them at 8-10 and 8-6 respectively. When six horses share an identical weight in an eight-runner sprint, the race becomes a genuine lottery for the minor positions. The one certainty is that the top weights have the edge, which is why agreement with the book on Sher Dil as Fav ourite is straightforward.

The divergence comes in the Place  and Fluke . Self Belief won Race 1 outright on the 34th day — that winning form in this very company makes it my Place  selection over American Star, which the book Fav ours despite the same weight. Gallop In Glory, sitting in that cluster of six horses all on 8-6, is my Fluke  — in a sprint where six horses are genuinely level on weight, the surprise will come from within that group and Gallop In Glory is the least expected of them.

Race 3 — Class VII Div III & IV, 900m, Field of 6 · 8:10 PM

A six-horse race where the weight argument against the book's selection is at its most clear. Safe Bet at 8-2 is the book's Fav ourite, but Cinderella's Dream and Metro Queen both carry 8-10 — eight pounds more. In a Division III & IV race over 900 metres with only six runners, that weight gap between the horses that the handicapper rates highest and the book's choice is stark. Cinderella's Dream has been listed as a Fluke  on two consecutive cards and run with credit on both occasions — it is a horse overdue for a winning performance and the weights now fully support one. Metro Queen, sharing that top weight, is my Place . Safe Bet retains Fluke  status because in a small field it will be competitive; it just should not be starting the race as the market leader.

Race 4 — The Summer Cup, Class VII Div I, II & III, 1000m, Field of 8 · 8:45 PM

The Summer Cup is the card's prestige event and the one race where the weight argument is at its most emphatic. Mayya carries 9-2 — the heaviest weight on the entire 37th day card — in a multi-division cup race over 1000 metres. The book makes Chaman its Fav ourite at 8-2, conceding 14 pounds to the top weight in a term event. Across this entire meeting, the lesson that has emerged most consistently is that top-weighted horses in cup races win — Jim And Tonic at 9-2 won the QE II Challenge Cup, Chasing Eden dominated the April Cup and May Cup, Emerging Star at 9-2 won as the promoted Fav ourite on the 36th day. Mayya fits that profile precisely and is my Fav ourite without hesitation.

Chaman is my Place  — the book's faith in it is not without logic, and in a cup it will be competitive and Place . Cinderella's Dream at 8-10 is my Fluke  — second highest weight in the field, a horse trending upward through the divisions, and the Summer Cup distance of 1000m gives it more opportunity than a sprint to express its ability.

Race 5 — Class VII Div V, 900m, Field of 8 · 9:20 PM

The evening's finale features a fascinating rematch of familiar names. Absolutely Not carries 9-0 — top weight — and has form as a shock winner earlier in this season. The book makes it the Fluke  and Zaman Sahib the Fav ourite. The argument here follows the same logic applied throughout: Absolutely Not's top weight deserves respect, particularly as Zaman Sahib's win on the 36th day will have drawn attention from both the handicapper and the market. A horse returning after a publicised victory, now facing rivals who know exactly what it did, is vulnerable. Fakhar-e-Sardar is the one consistent selection that both book and personal analysis agree on — a reliable Place  performer throughout the season. Zaman Sahib drops to my Fluke : it remains quality enough to feature, just not necessarily as the outright winner a second time.

36th Day — LRC Winter Meeting

 

36th Day — Lahore Winter Meeting 2025–26 Sunday, 10th May 2026 · Five Races · All Class VII

 

Race 1 · 7:00 PM  Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden) — 900m Maiden

Field of 10

Book Fav Sea Of Class

Book Place Power Up

Book Fluke Baghi

My Fav Tehran Shan

My Place Sea Of Class

My Fluke Quiz

My reasoning

A maiden race over 900m with ten runners. Tehran Shan carries 9-0 — the joint top weight alongside Quiz — and in a maiden field that allocation is the handicapper's clearest signal of potential. The book goes to Sea Of Class (7-12), a significant weight concession of 16 pounds to Tehran Shan. While light-weighted maidens can and do win, I prefer to trust the weight in a first-career field. Sea Of Class stays as my Place . Quiz (8-11) is my Fluke  — second highest weight, maiden conditions, and unexposed talent can surprise at a short trip of 900m. Chhota Multani at 8-10 is also worth watching in a race where the top weights dominate.

1	Tehran Shan (9-0)	My Fav  — top weight
2	Quiz (8-11)	My Fluke  — 2nd highest wt
3	Chhota Multani (8-10)
4	Gold Nation (8-7)
5	Baghi (8-7)	Book Fluke
6	Barbaro (8-6)
7	Power Up (8-2)	Book Place
8	Shera Choice (7-13)
9	Sea Of Class (7-12)	Book Fav  / My Place
10	Bilal One (7-12)

Race 2 · 7:35 PM  Class VII Div VI & VII — 900m

Field of 10 (+4)

Book Fav Zaman Sahib

Book Place Zindagi

Book Fluke Lucky Macs

My Fav Zaman Sahib

My Place King Asia

My Fluke Latin Storm

My reasoning

Zaman Sahib (8-12) carries top weight and has been Place d consistently across recent weeks — second in Race 2 on the 34th day, third on the 33rd day. That level of consistency at top weight now deserves a winning call. Full agreement with the book on the Fav ourite. King Asia (8-10) is joint second weight and has been running in this division regularly without winning — a placing is overdue, making it my Place  selection over Zindagi. Latin Storm (7-12) won Race 1 on the 33rd day as a complete surprise from lightweight and is entirely ignored by the book — that recent winning form makes it my Fluke .

1	Zaman Sahib (8-12)	Book & My Fav  — top weight
2	King Asia (8-10)	My Place
3	Lucky Macs (8-10)	Book Fluke
4	Black Fire (8-8)
5	Sultan Again (8-6)
6	Zindagi (8-2)	Book Place
7	Self Belief (8-0)
8	Gallop In Glory (7-12)
9	Latin Storm (7-12)	My Fluke  — prev. winner
10	Silent Melody (7-12)	+4

Race 3 · 8:10 PM  Class VII Div I & II — 900m

Field of 6

Book Fav Samore City

Book Place Wynx

Book Fluke Golden Heart

My Fav Wynx

My Place Moni Ka Rehman

My Fluke Forbidden Love

My reasoning

A tight six-horse field at the highest division on the card. Wynx (8-10) carries top weight and has been running consistently in Class VII Division I company — it was in the frame on the 34th day and deserves promotion from the book's Place  to my Fav ourite. Samore City is the book's pick but at 7-10 it concedes significant weight to the top three. Moni Ka Rehman (7-10) ran as Fav ourite on the 35th day and was beaten but remains a quality horse — Place  material. Forbidden Love (7-10) is completely off the book's radar and at this short 900m trip in a six-horse field, a lightweight with pace can steal it — my Fluke  over Golden Heart.

1	Wynx (8-10)	My Fav  — top weight
2	Golden Heart (7-12)	Book Fluke
3	Forbidden Love (7-10)	My Fluke
4	Maverick (7-10)
5	Moni Ka Rehman (7-10)	My Place
6	Samore City (7-10)	Book Fav
7	Wynx (8-10)	Book Place

Race 4 · 8:45 PM  Class VII Div IV & V — 900m

Field of 10

Book Fav Be A Man

Book Place Awais Love

Book Fluke Emerging Star

My Fav Emerging Star

My Place Be A Man

My Fluke Fatteh Prince

My reasoning

Emerging Star (9-2) is the top weight by a considerable margin in this ten-horse field — a full 10 pounds above the next group. That allocation at Division IV & V level demands respect. The book makes it the Fluke ; I make it my Fav ourite. The book's pick Be A Man (8-4) is a solid selection and I retain it as my Place . Fatteh Prince (8-6) sits between the top weight and the midfield, has shown recent form in this company, and is entirely overlooked by the book — my Fluke . Awais Love as book Place  at 8-2 is reasonable but carries too much of a concession to Emerging Star to be the winner.

1	Emerging Star (9-2)	Book Fluke  / My Fav  — top wt
2	Fatteh Prince (8-6)	My Fluke
3	Taj Mahal (8-6)
4	Be A Man (8-4)	Book Fav  / My Place
5	Zaid Prince (8-2)
6	Awais Love (8-2)	Book Place
7	Ammara's Dream (7-8)
8	Piyari (7-8)
9	Haseeb Warrior (7-8)
10	— (field of 10)

Race 5 · 9:20 PM  Class VII Div II & III — 1000m

Field of 6

Book Fav Safe Bet

Book Place Desert Parri

Book Fluke Eden Queen

My Fav Ex Gambler KRC

My Place Eden Queen

My Fluke Desert Parri

My reasoning

Ex Gambler KRC (8-12) carries the top weight in this six-horse closer — the highest on the race and a clear signal. The book completely ignores it, going instead to Safe Bet (8-6) as Fav ourite. In a small six-runner field over 1000m, the horse the handicapper rates highest is rarely there by accident. My Fav ourite is Ex Gambler KRC without hesitation. Eden Queen won Race 3 on the 34th day as the day's only correct Fav ourite — it carries 8-10 here and that proven winning form at this class makes it my Place , promoted from the book's Fluke . Desert Parri, the book's Place  pick, drops to my Fluke  — it has been consistent but the two horses above it on the weights deserve priority.

1	Ex Gambler KRC (8-12)	My Fav  — top weight
2	Eden Queen (8-10)	Book Fluke  / My Place
3	Desert Parri (8-10)	Book Place  / My Fluke
4	Gul-e-Jalal (8-8)
5	Safe Bet (8-6)	Book Fav
6	Dawood Prince (8-6)

 

Full Race-by-Race Analysis

---

Race 1 — Class VII Div VI & VII Maiden, 900m, Field of 10 (7:00 PM)

A maiden race is always the hardest to predict because no horse has a winning run to point to. In that vacuum, the weights become the most reliable guide available. Tehran Shan carries 9-0 — joint top with Quiz — and the book's favourite Sea Of Class carries only 7-12, a concession of 16 pounds. That is a very heavy ask in a 900-metre maiden where there is no proven stamina or class to rely upon. The book's logic in choosing Sea Of Class may rest on paddock reputation or breeding — both legitimate factors in a maiden — but the weight argument for Tehran Shan is strong enough to make it my favourite. Sea Of Class remains my place because the book's confidence must count for something. Quiz at 8-11, the second heaviest weight in the field, is my fluke — unexposed horses with significant weight allocations are precisely where maiden surprises come from. Baghi at 8-7, the book's fluke, is equally live in what is genuinely a wide-open heat.

Race 2 — Class VII Div VI & VII, 900m, Field of 10 (+4) (7:35 PM)

This is the race where form and weights align most cleanly. Zaman Sahib has been placed in consecutive meetings — third on the 33rd day, second on the 34th day — and now carries top weight of 8-12. The consistency arc points clearly to a win, and both book and personal analysis agree on the favourite. The key divergence is the place: King Asia (8-10) has been quietly running in this division without recognition, carrying joint second weight alongside Lucky Macs. I prefer King Asia's weight over Zindagi's 8-2 for the place position. The most intriguing selection is Latin Storm as my fluke — it won Race 1 on the 33rd day outright from 8-0, a completely unheralded result, and is now running at 7-12 with that winning run under its belt and entirely off the book's radar.

Race 3 — Class VII Div I & II, 900m, Field of 6 (8:10 PM)

The most senior division on the card and a tight six-horse field. Wynx (8-10) is the clear top weight and the book assigns it the place slot — I upgrade it to favourite. At Division I & II level over 900 metres, top weight is an extremely meaningful signal. Samore City is the book's favourite at 7-10, conceding 14 pounds to Wynx. That concession in a class race over such a short trip is a significant ask. Moni Ka Rehman ran as favourite on the 35th day — beaten but not disgraced — and remains quality place material. Forbidden Love at 7-10 is completely invisible to the book but in a six-horse race at a sprint trip, a well-timed lightweight can materialise from nowhere. It is my fluke.

Race 4 — Class VII Div IV & V, 900m, Field of 10 (8:45 PM)

The weight structure here is the most dramatic on the card. Emerging Star carries 9-2 — a full 10 pounds clear of the next cluster of horses. In a ten-runner field at Division IV & V, that allocation is extraordinary and the book's decision to label it a fluke is one of the more puzzling calls of the meeting. The handicapper clearly rates Emerging Star as the class horse in this field, and I make it my favourite without reservation. Be A Man at 8-4 is the book's pick and a fair assessment — it becomes my place. Fatteh Prince (8-6) sits at a workable weight above the midfield and has shown enough in recent weeks to merit a fluke call ahead of Awais Love.

Race 5 — Class VII Div II & III, 1000m, Field of 6 (9:20 PM)

The evening's finale and the card's most interesting weight puzzle. Ex Gambler KRC carries 8-12 — top weight in a six-horse field — and the book doesn't give it a single mention, choosing Safe Bet (8-6) as favourite instead. This is the clearest case across the five races of the weights telling a different story from the formbook. In a six-runner field over 1000m, top weight almost always deserves to be in the frame. My favourite is Ex Gambler KRC. Eden Queen won convincingly on the 34th day as the meeting's sole correct favourite selection — it carries 8-10 here and that proven recent winning form at this class elevates it to my place, above the book's fluke designation. Desert Parri slides to my fluke — consistent enough to feature, but outweighed by the two horses above it.

Summary of Key Divergences

Across five races, the principal departures from the book are: Tehran Shan over Sea Of Class in Race 1 on weight; King Asia over Zindagi for place in Race 2; Wynx over Samore City in Race 3 on weight; Emerging Star promoted from book fluke to favourite in Race 4; and Ex Gambler KRC as Race 5 favourite where the book sees nothing. In each case the argument rests on the same principle that has served well across this season — when the handicapper places significant weight on a horse in a small, competitive field, that signal is rarely wrong.