LRC 24th day meet

 

LRC 24^th day meet

Predictions for Lahore Winter Meeting - Sunday, February 15th, 2026 (24th Day)

 

Asher Butt

APPLYING LESSONS FROM WEEKS 1 & 2

Key Strategy:

1. ✅ PRIORITIZE RECENT WINNERS - Augustus & Lex Luger won back-to-back
2. ✅ Track winning streaks - Hot form is everything
3. ✅ Experience (8-10, 8-12) over unbeaten records
4. ✅ Avoid Race 5-6 winners from last week - May be tired
5. ✅ In maidens: Most starts wins

 

Race-by-Race Predictions

Race 1 - Class VII Division-VI&VII - 1000m - 11:30 AM

Complete Field: Anni Power 4 (9-0), Jutt Princess 14 (8-11), Baghi 8 (8-11), Barrister 6 (8-10), True My Love 13 (8-10), Altaf Star 2 (8-10), Singhar 5 (8-8), Raees Sahib 12 (8-6), Self Belief 10 (8-0), Faryum 11 (7-13), American Star 9 (7-10), Abdullah Pasrur 7 (7-10), Thunder Lady 3 (7-10)

Book Predictions: favourite Anni Power, place American Star, fluke Barrister

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Barrister (6) - 8-10 AND placed 2nd last week Race 2!
• Place: True My Love (13) - 8-10 experienced
• Fluke: Altaf Star (2) - 8-10, placed 3rd two weeks ago

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🔥 BARRISTER IS KEY - Placed 2nd last week in Race 2 (Augustus won). Current form!
• Anni Power (9-0) - Unbeaten but we know this pattern fails (12.5% success rate)
• American Star (7-10) - Placed 3rd last week but lower record
• Three horses at 8-10 - Very competitive, could go any way
• Self Belief (8-0) - Unbeaten, failed last week Race 2
• Singhar (8-8) - Placed 2nd two weeks ago in Race 1

Key Factor: Barrister's recent 2nd place shows current race fitness. Following the pattern: recent placers keep performing.

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Competitive field with multiple 8-10 horses)

 

Race 2 - Class VII Division-V&VI - 1000m - 12:05 PM

Complete Field: Dawood Prince 10 (9-2), Shahan Shah 7 (8-10), Black Fire 12 (8-10), King Asia 5 (8-8), Zindagi 6 (8-6), Yes Commander 8 (8-4), Naveed-e-Sahar 11 (8-2), Zaman Sahib 9 (8-0), Lucky Macs 4 (8-0), Babbar Sher 3 (7-12), Pocket Power 2 (7-10), Mafnood JR 13 (7-10)

Book Predictions: favourite Dawood Prince, place Zindagi, fluke Shahansha

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Babbar Sher (3) - 7-12 AND WON LAST WEEK Race 1!
• Place: Shahan Shah (7) - 8-10, placed 2nd two weeks ago
• Fluke: Black Fire (12) - 8-10 solid record

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🏆 BABBAR SHER WON LAST WEEK! - Race 1 winner, hot form
• Dawood Prince (9-2) - Interesting record, only 2 losses in 11 races
• Zaman Sahib (8-0) - Unbeaten but FAILED twice already (Week 1 R2, Week 2 R2)
• Lucky Macs (8-0) - Another unbeaten, avoid pattern
• Babbar Sher's 7-12 record shows stamina and experience
• Following Augustus/Lex Luger pattern - Recent winners repeat

Key Factor: Babbar Sher proved itself last week. Confidence high, race-fit, should repeat.

Confidence Level: 🟢 HIGH (Recent winner with momentum)

 

Race 3 - Class VIII Division-III&IV - 1000m - 12:40 PM

Complete Field: Paddington 10 (9-0), Luckvir 6 (9-0), Rafah 5 (8-12), Haseeb Thunder 12 (8-10), Pakiza 7 (8-4), PrincessAnaya(Krc)15 (8-2), Zarbi 13 (8-2), Red Chilly 9 (8-2), Shareeka 11 (8-0), Rutba 2 (8-0), Lex Lugar 4 (8-0), Imperius 3 (7-12), Gondal Baba 14 (7-10), (X Gondal One), Thunder Boy 8 (7-8)

Book Predictions: favourite Rafah, place Red Chilly, fluke Pakiza

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Paddington (10) - 9-0 AND WON LAST WEEK Race 6!
• Place: Imperius (3) - 7-12, placed 3rd last week, CONSISTENT!
• Fluke: Rafah (5) - 8-12 most experienced

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🏆 PADDINGTON WON LAST WEEK! - Dominated Race 6, "galloped into Winner's Enclosure"
• ⭐ This is THE pick of the day - Paddington is the real deal
• Imperius (7-12) - Placed 2nd Week 1, 3rd Week 2. CONSISTENT placer!
• Lex Lugar (8-0) - Wait, this can't be the same Lex Luger who won 3 in a row?
• CRITICAL: If this is Lex LUGER (not Lugar), he's on a 3-win streak!
• If it's Lex Luger: Co-favourite with Paddington
• Luckvir (9-0) - Unbeaten but no recent racing
• Rafah (8-12) - Most experienced, good fluke

IMPORTANT QUESTION: Is "Lex Lugar (8-0)" actually "Lex Luger" who won 3 races in a row?

• If YES: This race is Paddington vs Lex Luger - EPIC!
• If NO: Paddington clear favourite

Confidence Level: 🟢 HIGH (Paddington proven winner)

 

Race 4 - Class VII Division-II&III - 1000m - 1:15 PM

Complete Field: Flash 4 (9-2), Golden Heart 8 (9-0), Gul-e-Jalal 9 (8-10), Tez Tareen 7 (8-8), Loud And Clear 3 (8-6), Asif Princess 6 (8-6), Khokhar One 2 (8-4), Waqat 5 (7-12)

Book Predictions: favourite Flash, place Khokhar One, fluke Loud and Clear

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Flash (4) - 9-2 excellent record
• Place: Golden Heart (8) - 9-0 unbeaten
• Fluke: Gul-e-Jalal (9) - 8-10 experienced

Analysis & Reasoning:

• Flash (9-2) - Only 2 losses, strong favourite
• Golden Heart (9-0) - Unbeaten but cautious about this pattern
• Khokhar One (8-4) - Placed 3rd in Race 5 two weeks ago, then failed last week
• Tez Tareen (8-8) - Balanced record
• No recent winners from last week in this field
• Flash's 9-2 record is exceptional - quality wins

Key Factor: Flash has proven quality without the "unbeaten curse" - has faced competition and won.

Confidence Level: 🟢 MEDIUM-HIGH (Flash's record is strong)

 

Race 5 - JDW Stud Invitational Cup (3-year-old Colts & Fillies) - 1400m - 1:50 PM ⭐

Complete Field: Coach House Candy4 (8-11), Prestige Queen 7 (7-13), Pretty Girl 3 (7-13), Frankie 2 (7-10), Sajal 5 (7-10), Sysmed Queen 6 (7-7)

Book Predictions: favourite Coach House Candy, place Prestige Queen, fluke Sajal

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Coach House Candy4 (8-11) - Best record in field
• Place: Prestige Queen (7) - 7-13 most experienced
• Fluke: Pretty Girl (3) - 7-13 equally experienced

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 1400m distance - Longer race, stamina matters
• Coach House Candy4 (8-11) - Only horse with 8+ record
• Small field (6 horses) - Less chaos, more predictable
• Prestige Queen & Pretty Girl both 7-13 - most starts, experience edge
• Sajal (7-10) - Placed 2nd in Shalimar Cup Week 1, quality horse
• 3-year-old term race - Young horses, unpredictable

Key Factor: Coach House Candy4 has class advantage, but Sajal has proven quality from Shalimar Cup.

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Term race, quality field)

 

Race 6 - Pakistan Oaks Cup (4-year-old Fillies) - 2000m - 2:25 PM ⭐⭐

Complete Field: Dilbar 3 (8-12), Moni Queen 7 (8-12), Nisha 5 (8-12), Princess Sara 6 (8-12), Qiemat 2 (8-12), Ronaq 4 (8-12)

Book Predictions: favourite Ronaq, place Dilbar, fluke Qismat

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Dilbar (3) - 8-12 (All tied!)
• Place: Moni Queen (7) - 8-12
• Fluke: Nisha (5) - 8-12

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🤯 ALL SIX HORSES HAVE IDENTICAL 8-12 RECORDS!
• This is the most unpredictable race of the day
• 2000m distance - Longest race, pure stamina test
• 4-year-old fillies only - Quality restricted field
• No way to differentiate on records - All equally experienced
• Post position, jockey, current form will decide this

Key Factor: Without recent racing data or additional info, this is a pure guess. Could go to ANY horse.

Confidence Level: 🔴 VERY LOW (Impossible to predict with identical records)

 

Race 7 - Derby Trials Cup (4-year-old Pakistani Colts & Fillies, Foaled 2022) - 2000m - 3:00 PM ⭐⭐⭐

Complete Field: Hi Volt 7 (9-0), Hall Road 2 (9-0), Jupiter 5 (9-0), New York City 8 (9-0), Nawab Prince(Krc) 9 (9-0), One Man Band 3 (9-0), Prince Eissa 6 (9-0), Sardar Bey 4 (9-0)

Book Predictions: favourite One Man Band, place Jupitar, fluke Prince Essa

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Hi Volt (7) - 9-0 AND WON LAST WEEK Race 4!
• Place: New York City (8) - 9-0, placed 3rd two weeks ago
• Fluke: Nawab Prince (9) - 9-0, placed 3rd two weeks ago

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🤯 ALL EIGHT HORSES ARE UNBEATEN 9-0!
• 🏆 BUT Hi Volt WON LAST WEEK - Race 4 as "electrifies the track"
• This is DERBY TRIALS - Major race, highest quality field
• Hi Volt has proven itself against competition (won last week)
• New York City - Photo finished for 3rd two weeks ago, close call
• Nawab Prince - Also placed 3rd two weeks ago
• All foaled 2022 - Same age, same experience timeline
• 2000m marathon - Different from sprints

Key Factor: Hi Volt's recent win is THE differentiator. Only horse with proven current form.

Confidence Level: 🟢 HIGH (Hi Volt's recent win breaks the tie)

 

Race 8 - Class VI Division-III&IV - 1400m - 3:35 PM

Complete Field: Perfect Again 4 (9-0), Ceaser 3 (8-10), Feel My Love 7 (8-4), Luna Afzaal 9 (8-2), Sher Khan 6 (8-2), Winx 5 (8-2), Quality Street 8 (8-2), Dominus 2 (7-12), (+4 All)

Book Predictions: favourite Feel My Love, place Dominus, fluke Perfect Again

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Sher Khan (6) - 8-2 AND WON LAST WEEK Race 7 as upset!
• Place: Ceaser (3) - 8-10 experienced
• Fluke: Feel My Love (7) - 8-4, placed 2nd in Race 4 last week

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🏆 SHER KHAN WON LAST WEEK! - Race 7 upset, "got through at the rail"
• Feel My Love - Placed 2nd last week Race 4 (Hi Volt won), current form
• Ceaser (8-10) - Most experienced, solid place bet
• Perfect Again (9-0) - Unbeaten but no recent racing
• Winx (8-2) - IF this is the same "Winx/Winz" who won Cup, DANGEROUS!
• (+4 All) - Large field = more chaos
• 1400m distance - Suits Sher Khan's closing style

CRITICAL: Need to confirm if Winx here is same horse from Week 2 Khalid Bin Waleed Cup!

Confidence Level: 🟢 MEDIUM-HIGH (Sher Khan recent winner)

 

Race 9 - Ghaznavi Cup Class-VII Division-II (Maiden) - 1400m - 4:10 PM ⭐

Complete Field: Fatteh Prince 7 (8-8), Moni Ka Rehman 5 (8-8), Green Card 4 (8-6), Lord & Lion 6 (8-4), Prince of Dawaud 8 (8-4), Queen of Pharoah 3 (8-3), Dubawi's Dream 9 (7-13), Peelo Wains 2 (7-11)

Book Predictions: favourite Queen Of Pharoah, place Lord And Lion, fluke Peelu Winners

My Predictions: 

• Favourite: Dubawi's Dream (9) - 7-13 MOST starts (maiden pattern!)
• Place: Peelo Wains (2) - 7-11, placed 3rd last week Race 5
• Fluke: Fatteh Prince (7) - 8-8 balanced

Analysis & Reasoning:

• MAIDEN RACE PATTERN: Most starts wins (Babbar Sher 7-13, Augustus 8-10 pattern)
• Dubawi's Dream (7-13) - 13 starts, most experienced
• Peelo Wains (7-11) - Placed 3rd last week, current form
• Lord & Lion (8-4) - Placed 3rd in Shalimar Cup Week 1, quality
• 1400m maiden - Longer distance favors stamina/experience
• Cup race (Ghaznavi Cup) - Competitive field

Key Factor: In maidens, MOST STARTS has been the winning pattern. Dubawi's Dream has 13 starts.

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Maiden race, but pattern is clear)

 

Race 10 - Class VII Division-I - 1400m - 4:45 PM

Complete Field: Public Star 3 (8-12), Sikandar 4 (8-6), Moni Prince 8 (8-4), Dubawi's Angel 2 (8-4), Brigadier 5 (8-2), Power Show 6 (7-12), Casino (Krc) 7 (7-12)

Book Predictions: favourite Sikander, place Moni Prince, fluke Public Star

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Public Star (3) - 8-12 most experienced
• Place: Power Show (6) - 7-12, placed 2nd last week Race 7
• Fluke: Moni Prince (8) - 8-4 quality horse

Analysis & Reasoning:

• Public Star (8-12) - Most experienced, was 9-0 two weeks ago but lost Race 7
• Power Show (7-12) - Placed 2nd last week Race 7 (Sher Khan won), current form
• Moni Prince (8-4) - Won Week 1 Race 8, but failed Week 2 Cup. Proven winner.
• Sikandar (8-6) - Placed 3rd last week Race 4, could surprise
• 1400m distance - Longer race, experience matters
• Final race - Fatigue factor for horses

Key Factor: Power Show's recent 2nd place shows current form. Public Star has class.

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Competitive, multiple contenders)

 

SUMMARY OF PREDICTIONS

🔥 STRONGEST PICKS (Recent Winners):

1. Babbar Sher (Race 2) 🏆 - Won last week Race 1
2. Paddington (Race 3) 🏆 - Won last week Race 6
3. Hi Volt (Race 7) 🏆 - Won last week Race 4, Derby Trials favorite
4. Sher Khan (Race 8) 🏆 - Won last week Race 7

💎 STRONG CONTENDERS (Recent Placers):

1. Barrister (Race 1) - 2nd place last week
2. Imperius (Race 3) - Consistent placer (2nd, then 3rd)
3. Feel My Love (Race 8) - 2nd place last week
4. Power Show (Race 10) - 2nd place last week
5. Peelo Wains (Race 9) - 3rd place last week

⚡ WILD CARDS:

1. Lex Lugar (Race 3) - IF this is Lex Luger on 3-win streak!
2. Winx (Race 8) - IF this is Cup winner from last week!
3. Flash (Race 4) - Excellent 9-2 record

⚠️ RACES TO AVOID BETTING:

• Race 6 (Pakistan Oaks) - All horses 8-12, impossible to predict
• Race 7 (Derby Trials) - All horses 9-0 except Hi Volt has edge

 

CRITICAL QUESTIONS NEEDING ANSWERS:

1. Is "Lex Lugar (8-0)" in Race 3 actually "Lex Luger" who won 3 races in a row?
• If YES: Paddington vs Lex Luger is EPIC showdown
• If NO: Paddington clear favorite
2. Is "Winx (8-2)" in Race 8 the same horse who won Khalid Bin Waleed Cup last week?
• If YES: Major threat to Sher Khan
• If NO: Sher Khan clear favorite
3. What are the book predictions?
• Need to compare with expert opinions

 

PREDICTION STRATEGY APPLIED:

✅ Prioritized 4 recent winners (Babbar Sher, Paddington, Hi Volt, Sher Khan)
✅ Valued recent placers (Barrister, Imperius, Feel My Love, Power Show)
✅ Avoided unbeaten records without recent racing (learned from 12.5% success rate)
✅ Applied maiden pattern (most starts wins - Dubawi's Dream 7-13)
✅ Considered distance changes (1400m, 2000m favor stamina)
✅ Factored in race quality (Derby Trials, Cup races)

 

CONFIDENCE LEVELS BY RACE:

🟢 HIGH: Race 2, 3, 7, 8 (Recent winners)
🟡 MEDIUM: Race 1, 4, 5, 9, 10 (Competitive but clear favorites)
🔴 LOW: Race 6 (Identical records, pure luck)

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BEST BETS OF THE DAY:

Win Bets:

1. Hi Volt (Race 7) - Derby Trials, proven recent winner
2. Paddington (Race 3) - Dominant last week
3. Babbar Sher (Race 2) - Recent winner, clear favorite

Each-Way/Place Bets:

1. Imperius (Race 3) - Most consistent placer
2. Power Show (Race 10) - Recent 2nd place
3. Barrister (Race 1) - Recent 2nd place

Value/Longshot:

1. Dubawi's Dream (Race 9) - Maiden pattern play
2. Moni Prince (Race 10) - Past champion returning

LEARNING FROM LAST WEEK'S RESULTS

 

Predictions for 23rd Lahore Winter Meeting - Sunday, February 8th, 2026

LEARNING FROM LAST WEEK'S RESULTS

Asher Butt

Key Lessons Applied:

1. ✅ Experience overunbeaten records - Horses with losses but wins (8-10, 8-12) outperformed perfect records
2. ✅ Maiden races are unpredictable - Expect surprises
3. ✅ Tactical factors matter - Post position, closing ability, rail runs
4. ✅ Quality of competition counts - Not just win-loss records

 

Race-by-Race Predictions

Race 1 - Class VII Division-VI&VII (Maiden) - 1100m - 1:00 PM

Complete Field: True My Love 9-0, Raees Sahib 6 (8-10), Altaf Star 4 (8-10), Singhar 7 (8-6), Majesty 4 (8-0), Babbar Sher 3 (7-13), Abdullah Pasur 5 (7-10), Fateh One 2 (7-8)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Majesty
• Place: Altaf Star
• Fluke: Babbar Sher

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Altaf Star (4) - 8-10 record shows real experience
• Place: Raees Sahib (6) - 8-10, equally experienced
• Fluke: Singhar (7) - 8-6 balanced record

Analysis & Reasoning:

• Why I disagree with book: Last week taught us maiden races are chaos, AND Majesty (8-0) actually ran SECOND in Race 1 last week, proving unbeaten records don't guarantee wins in maidens
• Altaf Star & Raees Sahib both have 8-10 records - they've won races AND learned from losses
• True My Love (9-0) looks dangerous on paper but unbeaten records failed 4 times last week
• Distance change to 1100m (from 1000m last week) may suit different horses
• Lesson applied: Experience with losses beats perfection in maidens

Confidence Level: 🟡 LOW (It's a maiden race - expect surprises!)

 

Race 2 - Class VII Division-VI&VII - 1100m - 1:35 PM

Complete Field: Latin Strom 8 (9-0), Anni Power 4 (9-0), Zaman Sahib 4 (9-0), Augustus 6 (8-10), Barrister 5 (8-8), Self Belief 4 (8-0), Gifts of Gold 3 (7-10), Khizer Choice 10 (7-10), I Shall Lead 2 (7-10), American Star 7 (7-10)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Anni Power 
• Place: Augustus
• Fluke: Barrister

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Augustus (6) - 8-10 record AND WON LAST WEEK Race 1!
• Place: Barrister (5) - 8-8 solid record
• Fluke: American Star (7) - 7-10, could surprise

Analysis & Reasoning:

• CRITICAL INSIGHT: Augustus WON last week as an upset! Form is hot right now
• Latin Strom (9-0) & Zaman Sahib (9-0) - Two unbeaten horses, but remember Zaman Sahib FAILED last week in Race 2 despite 9-0 record
• Applying last week's lesson: Unbeaten records failed in 4/8 races. Augustus has proven race fitness
• Distance: Same 1100m (adjusted from 1000m)
• Self Belief (8-0) - Another unbeaten horse but untested

Key Factor: Augustus has momentum from last week's surprise win. In horse racing, current form > historical record.

Confidence Level: 🟢 MEDIUM-HIGH (Augustus has proven form)

 

Race 3 - Class VII Division-V&VI - 1100m - 2:10 PM

Complete Field: Shahan Shah 6 (9-0), Royal Stone 7 (8-10), Bodrum 4 (8-8), Lex Lugar 3 (8-8), Zaman Sahib 2 (8-6), Pakiza Power 8 (8-0), Malfnood Akbar 1 (8-8), Malfnood JR 5 (7-12)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Bodrum
• Place: Shahan Shah
• Fluke: Lex Lugar

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Lex Lugar (3) - 8-8 AND WON LAST WEEK Race 2 as major upset!
• Place: Royal Stone (7) - 8-10 consistent performer
• Fluke: Malfnood JR (5) - 7-12, won 2nd place last week

Analysis & Reasoning:

• MAJOR FACTOR: Lex Lugar WON last week Race 2 despite being "fluke" - "muscled his way to win circle"
• Malfnood JR placed 2nd last week (surprise), showing current form
• Shahan Shah (9-0) - Unbeaten but we've seen this fail repeatedly
• Royal Stone (8-10) - Experienced, solid place contender
• Hot form beats cold form: Two horses from last week's Race 2 (winner + placer) are in this race

Confidence Level: 🟢 MEDIUM-HIGH (Recent race winners have edge)

 

Race 4 - Khalid Bin Waleed Cup Class-VII Division-I - 1100m - 2:45 PM ⭐

Complete Field: Moni Prince 6 (9-0), Sikander 2 (8-12), Brigadier 5 (8-12), Winz 2 (8-11), Princess Barcelona 3 (8-6), Specialist 7 (8-4), Golden Heart 8 (7-12)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Sikander
• Place: Moni Prince
• Fluke: Princess Barcelona

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Moni Prince (6) - 9-0 BUT ALSO WON LAST WEEK Race 8 as upset!
• Place: Sikander (2) - 8-12 experienced runner
• Fluke: Winz (2) - 8-11 balanced record

Analysis & Reasoning:

• GAME CHANGER: Moni Prince "routed rivals in finale" last week - won Race 8 despite being upset pick
• This is different from other 9-0 horses: Moni Prince has NOW proven himself in actual competition
• Specialist (8-4) - Could be dangerous given tactical racing matters
• Sikander (8-12) - Experience counts, good place bet
• Cup race: Usually competitive, expect quality field

This is the strongest pick of the day due to proven recent form.

Confidence Level: 🟢 HIGH (Recent race winner with quality)

 

Race 5 - Class VII Division-II&III - 1100m - 3:20 PM

Complete Field: Khokhar One 6 (8-12), Deep Seek 3 (8-10), Golden Choice 8 (8-10), Crown Pharoah 5 (8-6), Dubawi's Dream 7 (8-5), Peelo Wains 4 (8-1), Luckivir 2 (7-10)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Deep Seek
• Place: Peelo Wains
• Fluke: Khokhar One

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Khokhar One (6) - 8-12 AND placed 3rd last week Race 8
• Place: Golden Choice (8) - 8-10, failed in Shalimar Cup but still quality
• Fluke: Deep Seek (3) - 8-10 could win if in form

Analysis & Reasoning:

• Khokhar One showed up last week in competitive Race 8 finale
• Golden Choice (8-10) failed in featured Shalimar Cup but dropping in class here
• Deep Seek (8-10) - Book favorite, solid record
• Peelo Wains (8-1) - Very limited experience, risky place bet
• This is competitive: Multiple 8-10 horses, could go any way

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Competitive field, multiple contenders)

 

Race 6 - Class VII Division-IV - 1100m - 3:55 PM

Complete Field: Princess Anaya(Krc)2 (9-0), Zarbi 3 (9-0), Shareeka 4 (8-12), Rutba 6 (8-6), Imperius 7 (8-6), Paddington 5 (8-0), (+4 All)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Shareeka
• Place: Imperius
• Fluke: Zarbi

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Shareeka (4) - 8-12 experienced horse
• Place: Imperius (7) - 8-6 AND placed 2nd last week Race 3 as surprise!
• Fluke: Rutba (6) - 8-6 balanced

Analysis & Reasoning:

• Imperius was surprise 2nd place last week in Race 3 - current form matters
• Princess Anaya (9-0) & Zarbi (9-0) - Two unbeaten horses but we know the pattern
• Shareeka (8-12) - Most experienced, book agrees
• (+4 All) means MORE horses = MORE unpredictability
• Last week lesson: More horses in field = more chaos

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Large field makes prediction harder)

 

SUMMARY COMPARISON: Book vs My Predictions

Race	Book Favourite	My Favourite	Key Difference
1	Majesty (8-0)	Altaf Star (8-10)	Experience over unbeaten
2	"Anni Power"	Augustus (8-10)	Augustus WON last week
3	"Board Room"	Lex Lugar (8-8)	Lex Lugar WON last week
4	Sikander (8-12)	Moni Prince (9-0)	Moni Prince WON last week
5	Deep Seek (8-10)	Khokhar One (8-12)	Recent form edge
6	Shareeka (8-12)	Shareeka (8-12)	AGREE

 

MY BEST BETS OF THE DAY

🔥 STRONGEST PICKS:

1. Moni Prince (Race 4) - Won last week + Cup race + proven quality
2. Augustus (Race 2) - Won last week as upset, has momentum
3. Lex Lugar (Race 3) - Won last week, current hot form

💎 VALUE PICKS (Flukes that could win):

1. Imperius (Race 6) - Placed 2nd last week as surprise
2. Malfnood JR (Race 3) - Placed 2nd last week
3. Barrister (Race 2) - 8-8 solid record

⚠️ AVOID/RISKY:

1. All unbeaten horses without recent racing - Failed pattern
2. Maiden race favourites - Too unpredictable
3. True My Love, Latin Strom, Zaman Sahib - Unbeaten but unproven

 

STRATEGIC APPROACH BASED ON LAST WEEK

What I'm Prioritizing:

✅ Horses that raced last week - We know their current form
✅ Recent winners - Augustus, Lex Lugar, Moni Prince
✅ Recent placers - Imperius, Malfnood JR, Khokhar One
✅ Experience (8-10, 8-12 records) over perfect records
✅ Tactical awareness - Distance changes (1000m → 1100m)

What I'm Avoiding:

❌ Unbeaten records without recent proof
❌ Overconfidence in maiden races
❌ Horses dropping significantly from featured races
❌ Large fields (+4 All) without strong recent form

 

PREDICTION CONFIDENCE LEVELS

🟢 HIGH CONFIDENCE:

• Race 4: Moni Prince (recent winner)
• Race 2: Augustus (recent winner)
• Race 3: Lex Lugar (recent winner)

🟡 MEDIUM CONFIDENCE:

• Race 5: Khokhar One (recent placer)
• Race 6: Shareeka (experience + Imperius place)

🔴 LOW CONFIDENCE (Expect Surprises):

• Race 1: Maiden race - anything can happen

 

FINAL THOUGHTS

This week's card is DIFFERENT because we have actual recent form data. Three horses won last week and are racing again:

1. Augustus (won R1 last week) → Racing R2 this week
2. Lex Lugar (won R2 last week) → Racing R3 this week
3. Moni Prince (won R8 last week) → Racing R4 this week

These three horses have PROVEN themselves in actual competition just 7 days ago. This is the most valuable data we have.

The biggest lesson from last week: Form shown in actual races > Historical records

Prediction: Expect at least 2 of these 3 recent winners to perform well again.

LRC 22nd day winter meeting analysis, predictions

 

My Analysis & Predictions for 22nd Lahore Winter Meeting 2025-2026

Asher Butt

Race-by-Race Predictions

Race 1 - Class VII Division-VI&VII (Maiden) - 1000m - 12:00 Noon

Field: Raees Sahib 9, Fazeel The Great 4, Gold Nation 11, Sea of Class 8, Faryum 2, Abdullah Pasur 5, Augustus 6, Tiger of Sultan 10, Fateh Gher 7, Majesty 3, Thunder Lady 12

My Predictions:

Favourite: Fazeel The Great (4) - 8-12 record shows consistency

Place: Augustus (6) - 7-12 solid performer

Fluke: Faryum (2) - 7-8, could surprise being lightly weighted

Reason: Fazeel The Great has the best winning percentage (4 wins from 12 starts, 33%). Augustus shows consistency with 6 wins. Book favors Sea of Class, but I prefer proven winners in maiden divisions.

Book predictions

favourite Sea Of Class, place Augustus, fluke Fazeel The Great

 

Race 2 - Class VII Division-VI&VII - 1000m - 12:35 PM

Field: Zaman Sahib 10, Naveed-e-Sehar 8, Lucky Macs 5, Ahni Power 3, Khizer Choice 2, Lex Lugar 4, Malfnood JR 6, Self Belief 12, Gallop In Glory 11, American Star 7, Lahif 9, (+4 All)

My Predictions:

Favourite: Zaman Sahib (10) - 9-0 unbeaten record

Place: Naveed-e-Sehar (8) - 8-12 experienced

Fluke: American Star (7) - 8-0, perfect record

Reason: Zaman Sahib's unbeaten 9-0 record is outstanding. American Star also unbeaten (8-0) and could upset. Agree with book on this one.

Book predictions

favourite Zaman Sahib, place Naveed-e-Saher, fluke Lex Lugar

 

Race 3 - Class VII Division-IV&V - 1000m - 1:10 PM

Field: PrincessAnaya(Krc) 10, Pakiza 5, Shahan Shah 6, Royal Stone 7, Emerging Star 9, Paddington 3, Imperius 2, Thunder Boy 8, Red Chilli 4

My Predictions:

Favourite: Pakiza (5) - 8-12 most experienced

Place: Royal Stone (7) - 8-2 strong place record

Fluke: Shahan Shah (6) - 8-4, capable of surprise

Reason: Pakiza's experience advantage in this field. Royal Stone's 8-2 record shows consistency in placing. Book prediction aligns well.

Book predictions

3rd race: favourite Pakiza, place Red Chilli, fluke Shahanshah

 

Race 4 - Class VI Division-III&IV - 1200m - 1:45 PM

Field: Ceaser 4, Hi Volt 6, Nawab Prince(Krc) 8, Quality Street 2, Luna Afzaal 7, Feel My Love 3, Princess Noor 5, (+4 All)

My Predictions:

Favourite: Quality Street (2) - 8-4 solid record

Place: Ceaser (4) - 8-10 experienced

Fluke: Luna Afzaal (7) - 8-2 could surprise

Reason: Quality Street shows better winning percentage. Book favors "Feel My Love" (not clearly identified in field), so I'm going with Quality Street's proven record.

Book predictions

favourite Feel my live, place Ceaser, fluke High Volt

 

Race 5 - The Shalimar Cup (4-year-old Colts) - 1200m - 2:20 PM ⭐ FEATURED RACE

Field: American Gambler 3, Golden Choice 7, Lord & Lion 5, Mister Sardar 2, Sajal 4, Tez Tareen 6

My Predictions:

Favourite: American Gambler (3) - 8-7 best record

Place: Golden Choice (7) - 8-0 unbeaten

Fluke: Sajal (4) - 8-0 also unbeaten

Reason: This is interesting! Two unbeaten horses (Golden Choice 8-0, Sajal 8-0) versus proven winner American Gambler (8-7). American Gambler has faced tougher competition. Golden Choice unbeaten status makes it dangerous. This race could go either way.

Book predictions

favourite American Gambler, place, fluke Load and Lion

 

Race 6 - Class VII Division-II (Maiden) - 1200m - 2:55 PM

Field: Golden Star 6, Maya 8, Frankie 5, Prince of Dawaud 9, Syemed Queen 7, Dubawi's Dream 3, Shibra 10, Bellafrix 8, Asif Princess 2

My Predictions:

Favourite: Maya (8) - 8-6 best maiden record

Place: Golden Star (6) - 8-10 most experienced

Fluke: Syemed Queen (7) - 8-5 capable

Reason: Maya has better winning ratio than Golden Star despite fewer runs. In maidens, class often shows through experience.

Book predictions

favourite Golden Star, place Maya, fluke

 

Race 7 - Class VII Division-I - 1200m - 3:30 PM

Field: Public Star 4, New York City 6, Specialist 2, Sher Khan 3, Pretty Girl 7, Power Show 5, Golden Girl 8, (-2)

My Predictions:

Favourite: Public Star (4) - 9-0 unbeaten

Place: New York City (6) - 8-8 consistent

Fluke: Pretty Girl (7) - 7-12 experience edge

Reason: Public Star's unbeaten record is decisive. Book agrees. New York City's consistency earns place.

Book predictions

favourite Public Star, place Power Show, fluke Specialist

 

Race 8 - Class VIII Division-II&III - 1000m - 4:05 PM

Field: Flash 6, Falco 10, Moni Prince 7, Samore City 8, Khokhar One 3, Zohan The Thunder 2, Little Master 5, Waqat 4, Haseeb Thunder 9

My Predictions:

Favourite: Flash (6) - 9-0 unbeaten

Place: Moni Prince (7) - 8-10 experienced

Fluke: Samore City (8) - 8-10 equally capable

 

Reason: Flash's perfect record makes it standout. Moni Prince and Samore City both 8-10, so this is competitive for place/show positions.

Book predictions

favourite Flash, place Zohan The Thunder, fluke Khokkar One

 

Summary Comparison with Book Predictions

Agreements: Races 2, 3, 7, 8 (mostly aligned)

Disagreements: Races 1, 4, 5, 6 (different favorites or place horses)

Key Insights:

 

Unbeaten horses (9-0, 8-0 records) are strong favorites

Experience matters more in maiden races

Race 5 (Shalimar Cup) is most competitive with multiple unbeaten contenders