40th Day — pre race assessment

 

Lahore Winter Meeting 2025–26 Sunday, 7th June 2026 · Five Races · All Class VII

 

Asher Butt

40th Day — Lahore Winter Meeting 2025–26

Sunday, 7th June 2026  |  5 Races  |  All Class VII  |  No Betting  |  First Race 7:00 PM

⚠ Races held strictly without betting and wagering.

Race 1 · 7:00 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden) — 900mMaiden

Field of 10

Book Fav Gondal's Height

Book Place True My Love

Book Fluke Shera Choice

My Fav Prince of Kashmir

My Place Gondal's Height

My Fluke Hamdan Prince

My reasoning

Prince of Kashmir and Gondal's Height share joint top weight at 9-0 in a ten-horse maiden over 900m. The book nominates Gondal's Height as favourite — a horse that ran third in the 38th day new entrants maiden carrying top weight. That previous run gives it an experience edge over true debutants. However Prince of Kashmir is equally weighted and entirely fresh — in a short sprint maiden, a well-prepared debutant at 9-0 can be sharper than a horse carrying the memory of a third-place finish. I split the joint top weights: Prince of Kashmir as my favourite, Gondal's Height as my place. Hamdan Prince at 8-10, the third highest weight and likely carrying more substance than the lightweights, is my fluke over the book's Shera Choice (7-8) which concedes 16 pounds to the leaders.

1	Prince of Kashmir (9-0)	My fav — joint top wt
2	Gondal's Height (9-0)	Book fav / My place
3	Hamdan Prince (8-10)	My fluke — 3rd highest wt
4	Bilal Love (8-6)
5	True My Love (8-2)	Book place
6	Hassan Star (7-13)
7	Mumraiz The Great (7-12)
8	Shera Choice (7-8)	Book fluke
9	Abdullah Pasrur (7-8)
10	Flokey (7-8)

Race 2 · 7:35 PM Class VII Div VI & VII — 900m

Field of 7 (+10)

Book Fav Wake Up

Book Place Self Belief

Book Fluke Latin Storm

My Fav Latin Storm

My Place Wake Up

My Fluke Gallop In Glory

My reasoning

Wake Up and Latin Storm share the joint top weight at 9-0 — the book makes Wake Up its favourite, but Latin Storm has a strong form profile in this division. Latin Storm won Race 1 on the 33rd day outright and has been competitive across subsequent meetings, finishing as my fluke selection in third on the 36th day. A horse with a winning run at this level carrying joint top weight deserves favourite status. My favourite is Latin Storm; Wake Up drops to my place — the book's confidence is not unfounded and it will feature. Gallop In Glory at 8-10 carries the third highest weight alongside Self Belief and Bilal One, but in a sprint over 900m the horse with the strongest recent winning form in the division gets the fluke nod.

1	Wake Up (9-0)	Book fav / My place · X Rashid Prince
2	Latin Storm (9-0)	Book fluke / My fav — joint top wt
3	Bilal One (8-10)
4	Self Belief (8-10)	Book place
5	Gallop In Glory (8-10)	My fluke
6	Sosig Go (8-8)
7	Pride of Chandrai (8-6)	+10

Race 3 · 8:10 PM Class VII Div V & VI — 900m

Field of 8

Book Fav Lucky Macs

Book Place Fayyum

Book Fluke Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Fav Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Place Lex Lugar

My FlukeTrue Promise

My reasoning

Fakhar-e-Sardar carries 9-2 — the outright top weight in this eight-horse field, a full 6 pounds clear of the next horse. The book calls it the fluke. This is now the third time in this meeting that Fakhar-e-Sardar has been given the fluke designation while carrying top weight — it ran second on the 35th day as my promoted favourite, third on the 38th day carrying 9-2 as my favourite again. Each time the weight argument has been vindicated in terms of placing, if not always winning. The time for Fakhar-e-Sardar to finally break through as an outright winner feels imminent — my favourite with conviction. Lex Lugar at 8-8 is the second highest weight and entirely overlooked by the book — my place. True Promise at 8-4 has a consistent placing profile and is my fluke over the book's Fayyum (7-12), which concedes 14 pounds to the top weight.

1	Fakhar-e-Sardar (9-2)	Book fluke / My fav — top wt
2	Lex Lugar (8-8)	My place — 2nd highest wt
3	True Promise (8-4)	My fluke
4	Sher Dil (8-4)
5	Babbar Sher (8-4)
6	Power Up (8-0)
7	Lucky Macs (8-0)	Book fav
8	Fayyum (7-12)	Book place

Race 4 · 8:45 PM Class VII Div III & IV — 900m

Field of 10

Book Fav Construct Craft

Book Place Dawood Prince

Book Fluke Bellatrix

My Fav Dawood Prince

My Place Construct Craft

My Fluke Zaman Sahib

My reasoning

Dawood Prince carries 9-0 — the outright top weight in a ten-horse field, a clear 4 pounds above Paddington and 8 pounds above Construct Craft. The book makes Construct Craft (8-0) its favourite despite it conceding 8 pounds to the top weight. Dawood Prince has been a consistent performer in this division across the season and the weight allocation here is unambiguous — my favourite. Construct Craft won on the 38th day and remains quality; it drops to my place. Zaman Sahib (7-12) is my fluke — a horse with two consecutive wins earlier in the season, now carrying a reduced weight after a quieter run. That winning pedigree at a workable weight in a competitive Division III & IV field deserves recognition as the each-way outsider.

1	Dawood Prince (9-0)	My fav — outright top wt
2	Paddington (8-4)
3	Little Master (8-0)
4	Construct Craft (8-0)	Book fav / My place
5	Fatteh Prince (8-0)
6	Taj Mahal (8-0)
7	Hero (8-0)
8	Bellatrix (7-12)	Book fluke
9	Zaman Sahib (7-12)	My fluke — 2× winner
10	Largess (7-12)

Race 5 · 9:20 PM Class VII Div I & II — 800m

Field of 7

Book Fav Golden Heart

Book Place Wynx

Book Fluke Pakiza

My Fav Golden Heart

My Place Wynx

My FlukeSamore City

My reasoning

Full agreement with the book on the top two selections. Golden Heart won Race 3 on the 36th day as the book's fluke — a horse that wins from outside the market and now returns as favourite deserves that status. Carrying 8-12, the outright top weight in a seven-horse Division I & II race over 800m — the shortest trip on the card — Golden Heart's pace at this distance is unquestioned. Wynx (8-8) has been a model of consistency across the meeting, finishing in the frame repeatedly; it is a sound place selection. The divergence comes in the fluke: I prefer Samore City (7-10) over the book's Pakiza (8-6). Samore City placed in the Summer Cup and ran third on the 38th day — a horse with cup credentials running in Division I & II at a reduced weight on the fastest trip of the day (800m) has every chance of producing a surprise. Pakiza won on the 38th day but now faces a stiffer Division I & II field.

1	Golden Heart (8-12)	Book & My fav — top wt
2	Wynx (8-8)	Book & My place
3	Pakiza (8-6)	Book fluke
4	Vindication (8-0)	X Brigadier
5	Jalsa (7-12)
6	Kalabi's Queen (7-11)
7	Samore City (7-10)	My fluke — cup form

 

Full Race-by-Race Analysis — 40th Day

 

Race 1 — Class VII Div VI & VII Maiden, 900m, Field of 10 · 7:00 PM

A third consecutive maiden opener as the meeting continues to introduce new horses. The joint top weights of 9-0 — Prince of Kashmir and Gondal's Height — dominate the weight structure. Gondal's Height is the book's pick precisely because it has previous race experience, having run third in the 38th day new entrants maiden. That experience edge at 900 metres in a sprint is meaningful — a horse that has broken from the gate before and settled into a racing rhythm holds a natural advantage over pure debutants. However the counter-argument is equally valid: Prince of Kashmir arrives fresh, and a well-prepared 9-0 debutant in the right physical condition can be sharper than a horse carrying the memory of a third-place effort.

Hamdan Prince at 8-10 is the clear third choice on weights and my fluke — in a maiden where the top two are closely matched, the horse immediately below them on the scale often runs into the frame when the leaders cancel each other out. The book's fluke of Shera Choice at 7-8 concedes 16 pounds to the top weights — a concession that is extremely difficult to bridge in a sprint maiden without exceptional natural ability.

Race 2 — Class VII Div VI & VII, 900m, Field of 7 (+10) · 7:35 PM

Race 2 features the season's most interesting rematch. Wake Up and Latin Storm share 9-0 — the joint top weight — and the book separates them by making Wake Up the favourite and Latin Storm the fluke. That assessment is worth challenging directly. Latin Storm has a winning run at this level from the 33rd day, has subsequently placed in multiple meetings, and arrives here in the best form of the two. A horse with a previous win carrying joint top weight in a sprint should be the favourite, not the fluke. My inversion — Latin Storm as favourite, Wake Up as place — follows the logic of rewarding proven form at this level over an unknown quantity. Gallop In Glory at 8-10 has been a consistent presences in the midfield of these Division VI & VII sprints and makes a natural fluke in what is essentially a match between the two top weights.

Race 3 — Class VII Div V & VI, 900m, Field of 8 · 8:10 PM

This is the race of the day analytically, and the argument has been building across six consecutive meetings. Fakhar-e-Sardar carries 9-2 for the third time at this level — each previous time it has carried this weight, the book has called it a fluke, and each time it has run into the placed positions. Second on the 35th day, third on the 38th day, and now appearing again at 9-2 in a slightly smaller field. The pattern is clear: this horse is the class act of Division V & VI and the handicapper consistently rates it as such. The book's continued designation of it as a fluke is one of the analytical curiosities of the entire meeting. My favourite is Fakhar-e-Sardar — the conviction here is stronger than at any previous point. Lucky Macs carries only 8-0, conceding 14 pounds to the top weight — the book's decision to make it favourite is based purely on form, but that 14-pound concession over 900 metres is a very difficult ask.

Race 4 — Class VII Div III & IV, 900m, Field of 10 · 8:45 PM

The widest field of the day at ten runners with an interesting weight structure. Dawood Prince stands alone at 9-0, eight pounds clear of Construct Craft and the rest of the field sitting on 8-0. The book's choice of Construct Craft as favourite — despite that 8-pound concession — is based on its winning form from the 38th day. That win is recent and real, but Construct Craft won carrying 8-0 against a different field. Here it faces Dawood Prince at 9-0, a horse that has been carrying top weight consistently and running in the placed positions. My inversion puts Dawood Prince as favourite and Construct Craft as place. Zaman Sahib is the most sentimental selection of the day as my fluke — a horse with two consecutive wins earlier in the season, now carrying a reduced weight of 7-12 in a ten-horse field. Form horses have a habit of reminding the field of their quality at precisely the moment everyone has stopped expecting it.

Race 5 — Class VII Div I & II, 800m, Field of 7 · 9:20 PM

The evening finale at the shortest trip of the day — 800 metres for the highest division on the card. Golden Heart winning Race 3 on the 36th day from the fluke position is the form line that defines this race. Now elevated to favourite at 8-12, top weight, it deserves that market position and both book and personal analysis agree without reservation. Wynx has been the model of consistent placing across this entire meeting — it has appeared in the frame on the 34th, 35th, 36th, and 37th days. At 8-8 in a seven-horse sprint, the place is its natural home and both book and analysis converge on that assessment.

The divergence is in the fluke. Pakiza won on the 38th day but now steps up into Division I & II company — a class jump for a horse that won in Division II & III. Samore City, by contrast, ran in the Summer Cup and placed in the 38th day at this level. Cup-race credentials and divisional experience at this class makes Samore City the more credible fluke than a horse stepping up in class for the first time. The 800-metre trip suits pace-reliant horses, and Samore City's profile fits that description at a generous weight of 7-10.

38th day — LRC full race-by-race analysis

 

38th Day — Lahore Winter Meeting 2025–26 Sunday, 24th May 2026 · Five Races · All Class VII ·

 

Asher Butt

Sunday, 24th May 2026  |  5 Races  |  All Class VII  |  First Race 7:00 PM

Race 1 · 7:00 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden — New Entrants) — 1000mMaiden

Field of 11

No Book Prediction all new entrants

My Fav Chahal King

My Place Gondal's Height

My Fluke Lex Lugar

My reasoning — purely on weights

A pure new entrants maiden over 1000m — no form whatsoever to consult and no book prediction provided. The weights are the only guide. Chahal King and Gondal's Height both carry 9-0, the joint top weight in the field, and that allocation in a new entrants race typically reflects the trainer's confidence and the horse's physical development. Between the two, Chahal King gets the nod as my Fav ourite on the draw and gate position. Gondal's Height is my Place  — sharing top weight, it has equal claim to feature. Lex Lugar at 8-12 sits just below the top pair and carries enough weight to suggest substance without the full burden — a classic Fluke  profile in a maiden. Roxy (8-11) and Quiz (8-10) are also respected in a wide-open heat.

1	Chahal King (9-0)	My Fav  — joint top wt
2	Gondal's Height (9-0)	My Place  — joint top wt
3	Roxy (8-11)
4	Quiz (8-10)
5	Mohtarma (8-7)
6	Barbaro (8-10)
7	Mumraiz The Great (8-2)
8	Hassan Star (8-0)
9	Bilal One (7-10)
10	Fateh One (7-10)
11	Lex Lugar (8-12)	My Fluke  — 3rd highest wt

Race 2 · 7:35 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden) — 1000mMaiden

Field of 8

Book Fav Sea Of Class

Book Place Princess Arooj

Book Fluke Power Up

My Fav Mirza Prince

My Place Dogar Choice

My Fluke Sea Of Class

My reasoning

Sea Of Class has now been the book's Fav ourite across three consecutive meetings without winning — it ran second on the 36th day but has yet to obligate as the market leader. The book persists with it, and while that loyalty is not without logic, the weight argument pulls against it here. Mirza Prince carries 9-0 — outright top weight in an eight-horse maiden — and in a 1000m maiden that carries the strongest signal available. My Fav ourite is Mirza Prince. Dogar Choice at 8-11 is the second highest weight and has the profile of a consistent Place r in maiden company — my Place . Sea Of Class at 8-2 drops to my Fluke ; the book's persistent faith means it cannot be ignored entirely, but three meetings as Fav ourite without winning demands a demotion in assessment.

1	Mirza Prince (9-0)	My Fav  — top weight
2	Dogar Choice (8-11)	My Place  — 2nd highest wt
3	Power Up (8-6)	Book Fluke
4	Princess Arooj (7-12)	Book Place
5	Sea Of Class (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Fluke
6	Good Boy (7-10)
7	Shera Choice (8-0)
8	Miller (8-0)

Race 3 · 8:10 PM Class VII Div V, VI & VII — 1000m

Field of 13

Book Fav Construct Craft

Book Place Piyari

Book Fluke Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Fav Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Place Construct Craft

My Fluke Zindagi

My reasoning

Fakhar-e-Sardar (9-2) carries the outright top weight in a thirteen-horse field — a very emphatic allocation in a multi-division race over 1000m. The book lists it as Fluke ; personal analysis promotes it directly to Fav ourite. This is the same argument applied successfully to Emerging Star (9-2) on the 36th day — that race's top weight won from the book's Fluke  position. History is repeating the pattern. Construct Craft is a reliable performer and the book's Fav ourite; it drops to my Place  — it will compete but the weight concession to Fakhar-e-Sardar is considerable. Zindagi (8-2) is a horse that has appeared on multiple cards in this division; in a thirteen-runner field it can sneak into the frame as my Fluke .

1	Fakhar-e-Sardar (9-2)	Book Fluke  / My Fav  — top wt
2	Sher Dil (8-12)
3	Fayyum (7-8)
4	Construct Craft (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Place
5	Piyari (8-2)	Book Place
6	Lucky Macs (8-2)
7	Zindagi (8-2)	My Fluke
8	Construct Craft (7-12)
9	Zindagi (8-10)
10	Silent Melody (7-8)
11	Gallop In Glory (7-8)
12	Gallop In Glory (7-8)
13	King Asia (8-10)

Race 4 · 8:45 PM Class VII Div II & III — 1000m

Field of 7 (+4)

Book Fav Sarkar Raj

Book Place Pakiza

Book Fluke Samore City

My Fav Samore City

My Place Sarkar Raj

My Fluke Ustrana Love

My reasoning

Samore City (8-6) is the book's Fluke  but it Place d in the Summer Cup last time — a horse that competed in the cup race and ran into a placing has class to spare over Division II & III company. The book Place d it as Fluke  after a cup run; I elevate it to Fav ourite. Sarkar Raj won in the Summer Cup from a complete outsider position and now returns to its natural division — a cup winner dropping back into class races is always a strong force, making it my Place . Pakiza (8-4) is the book's Place  and a consistent runner; Ustrana Love (8-2) has been running in this company and is my Fluke  — in a seven-horse field the unexpected can always emerge.

1	Samore City (8-6)	Book Fluke  / My Fav
2	Sarkar Raj (8-4)	Book Fav  / My Place
3	Pakiza (8-4)	Book Place
4	Falco (8-6)
5	Ustrana Love (8-2)	My Fluke
6	Metro Queen (8-0)
7	Little Master (8-0)	+4

Race 5 · 9:20 PM Class VII Div IV & V — 1000m

Field of 8

Book Fav Absolutely Not

Book Place Raja The Great

Book Fluke Haseeb Warrior

My Fav Taj Mahal

My Place Absolutely Not

My Fluke Zaman Sahib

My reasoning

Taj Mahal (9-0) carries the outright top weight in this eight-horse Division IV & V field. The book makes Absolutely Not (8-6) its Fav ourite — a 6-pound concession to the top weight over 1000m. Taj Mahal has not featured prominently in the book's selections but the weight allocation is unambiguous. My Fav ourite is Taj Mahal. Absolutely Not has been a consistent performer and narrowly missed in the 37th day as my own Fav ourite — it drops to my Place  rather than being abandoned. Zaman Sahib (8-6) is the three-time recent winner of this meeting — consecutive victories on the 36th and 37th days — and the book now Place s it as an afterthought in Fluke  territory. That winning momentum over 1000m cannot be ignored, making it my Fluke . A horse that has won back-to-back rarely stops at two.

1	Taj Mahal (9-0)	My Fav  — outright top wt
2	Absolutely Not (8-6)	Book Fav  / My Place
3	Zaman Sahib (8-6)	My Fluke  — 2× winner
4	Raja The Great (8-2)	Book Place
5	Zaid Prince (8-2)
6	Bellatrix (8-4)
7	Haseeb Warrior (7-10)	Book Fluke
8	Absolutely Not (7-10)

 

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Race 1 — Class VII Div VI & VII New Entrants Maiden, 1000m, Field of 11 · 7:00 PM

A pure new entrants maiden is the most speculative race on any card — no horse has run before, no form exists, and the weights alone must carry the entire analytical burden. With no book prediction provided for this race, the exercise becomes a clean weight-reading exercise. Chahal King and Gondal's Height share the joint top weight of 9-0 in an eleven-horse field. In a first-career race over 1000 metres, the trainer's decision to present a horse at maximum weight typically reflects physical maturity and readiness — these are the two horses that connections and the handicapper believe are most developed. Chahal King gets the slight nod as my Fav ourite based on gate position; Gondal's Height is the Place . Lex Lugar at 8-12 sits just below the joint top pair and is the natural Fluke  selection — third highest weight, sufficient bulk to compete, but carrying enough of a concession to be the overlooked candidate. The danger zone in any new entrants race is the mid-weight horses between 8-4 and 8-7, which can outrun both the heavily burdened leaders and the lightweights — Roxy (8-11) and Barbaro (8-10) both merit watching.

Race 2 — Class VII Div VI & VII Maiden, 1000m, Field of 8 · 7:35 PM

Sea Of Class has now been the book's maiden Fav ourite across the 35th, 36th, and 37th days consecutively. It ran second on the 36th day — the closest it has come — but has yet to win from the top market position. Three successive meetings as Fav ourite without a win is a meaningful data point, and the weight argument here makes the demotion straightforward. Mirza Prince carries 9-0, the outright top weight in an eight-horse maiden, and must be the Fav ourite on that basis alone. Dogar Choice at 8-11 is a clear second, carrying enough weight to suggest the handicapper rates it highly for a maiden. Sea Of Class at 8-2 concedes seven pounds to Mirza Prince over 1000 metres — that is a substantial ask without a previous winning run to prove it can overcome such a deficit. It becomes my Fluke  — the book's persistent faith across three meetings cannot be entirely dismissed, but as Fav ourite it has had its chances. Power Up, the book's Fluke  at 8-6, is also live in what remains a genuinely competitive eight-horse maiden.

Race 3 — Class VII Div V, VI & VII, 1000m, Field of 13 · 8:10 PM

The biggest field of the day at thirteen runners across three divisions, and the standout analytical call of the card. Fakhar-e-Sardar carries 9-2 — the outright top weight in the field, a full 10 pounds clear of most of the mid-field. The book calls it the Fluke . This is precisely the same scenario that played out on the 36th day when Emerging Star carried 9-2 as the book's Fluke  and personal analysis elevated it to Fav ourite — it won outright. The pattern across this entire meeting has been consistent: when a horse carries significantly more weight than its market position suggests, the handicapper is right and the book is wrong. Fakhar-e-Sardar has also been finishing in the Place d positions across multiple meetings — second in Race 2 on the 35th day as my promoted Fav ourite, third on the 33rd day — and the consistent near-miss form combined with top weight now makes it the strongest selection on the card. Construct Craft is a reliable Division VI performer and becomes my Place . Zindagi in a thirteen-horse field at 8-2 is the natural Fluke  — enough weight to compete, overlooked enough to surprise.

Race 4 — Class VII Div II & III, 1000m, Field of 7 (+4) · 8:45 PM

Race 4 features two horses with strong recent form credentials. Sarkar Raj won the Summer Cup from a completely unexpected position last week — a horse that wins a cup race from outside all predictions then drops back into its natural division is a formidable proposition. However the book installs it as Fav ourite, and when the market has already fully recognised a horse's recent cup win, the price and expectation may not match the reality of returning to class company. Samore City Place d in that same Summer Cup and brings cup-race fitness into a Division II & III field — the book calls it the Fluke , but a horse with cup credibility in this company is far more than a Fluke . My Fav ourite is Samore City; Sarkar Raj becomes my Place . Ustrana Love is my Fluke  — consistent enough at this level to gate-crash the frame in a relatively small field.

Race 5 — Class VII Div IV & V, 1000m, Field of 8 · 9:20 PM

The evening finale features the most compelling weight case on the entire card. Taj Mahal carries 9-0 — the outright top weight in an eight-horse Division IV & V race over 1000 metres. The book makes Absolutely Not (8-6) its Fav ourite, conceding six pounds to the top weight. That concession over a full kilometre in this division is the book's most questionable call of the day. Taj Mahal is my Fav ourite without reservation.

The subplot here is Zaman Sahib, which has won back-to-back races on the 36th and 37th days — a remarkable consecutive winning streak. The book now quietly lists it as a Fluke , almost as if embarrassed by its own underestimation. A horse that has won two races in succession over the same trip deserves more than Fluke  status, and it becomes my Fluke  with the full expectation that it will feature in the frame. Absolutely Not, which was my own promoted Fav ourite on the 37th day and ran second behind Zaman Sahib, drops neatly to my Place  — it is the consistent second force in this division and should Place  again. The race between Taj Mahal, Absolutely Not, and Zaman Sahib should produce the most competitive finish of the day.

LRC 37th day winter meet expectation

 

37th Day — Lahore Winter Meeting 2025–26 Sunday, 17th May 2026 · Five Races · All Class VII

By Asher Butt

Race 1 · 7:00 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden) — 900m Maiden

Field of 9 (+3)

Book Fav Sea Of Class

Book Place True Promise

Book Fluke Bilal One

My Fav Mohtarma

My Place True Promise

My Fluke Sea Of Class

My reasoning

Mohtarma carries 9-0 — the outright top weight in this maiden field by a clear margin. On the 36th day Sea Of Class ran second as a maiden Fav ourite; it has since been Place d and the book continues to back it, but it carries only 7-4 here, conceding a full 10 pounds to Mohtarma. In a maiden over 900m, that weight concession is difficult to overcome. True Promise (8-13) is my Place  — it has appeared on multiple cards without winning and the consistent near-miss profile suggests a Place  is its most likely outcome. Sea Of Class drops to my Fluke ; the book's confidence in it across two meetings is not without foundation, and if the weight theory fails, it is the most likely beneficiary.

1	Mohtarma (9-0)	My Fav  — outright top wt
2	True Promise (8-13)	Book Place  / My Place
3	Bilal Love (8-9)
4	Hassan Star (8-5)
5	True My Love (8-5)
6	Barbaro (8-4)
7	Sea Of Class (7-4)	Book Fav  / My Fluke
8	Shera Choice (7-12)
9	Bilal One (7-11)	Book Fluke   +3

Race 2 · 7:35 PM Class VII Div VI & VII — 900m

Field of 8

Book Fav Sher Dil

Book Place American Star

Book Fluke Haseeb Thrill

My Fav Sher Dil

My Place Self Belief

My Fluke Gallop In Glory

My reasoning

Sher Dil (8-10) carries joint top weight alongside Self Belief and Haseeb Thrill — but Sher Dil has demonstrated enough consistent form across this season to be trusted as Fav ourite, and the book is correct. Agreement is full on the top selection. I diverge on the Place : Self Belief (8-6) won Race 1 on the 34th day outright and has been running in this division since — a proven winner in the company deserves a Place  slot ahead of American Star (8-6). Gallop In Glory (8-6) is my Fluke  — three horses sit on the same 8-6 weight and in a sprint over 900m, any one of them can land. Gallop In Glory is the least expected of the three, making it the natural Fluke  pick.

1	Sher Dil (8-10)	Book & My Fav  — top wt
2	Self Belief (8-6)	My Place  — prev. winner
3	Haseeb Thrill (8-6)	Book Fluke
4	American Star (8-6)	Book Place
5	Star Crown (8-6)
6	Gallop In Glory (8-6)	My Fluke
7	Silent Melody (8-6)
8	Sosig Go (8-6)

Race 3 · 8:10 PM Class VII Div III & IV — 900m

Field of 6

Book Fav Safe Bet

Book Place Haseeb Warrior

Book Fluke Cinderella's Dream

My Fav Cinderella's Dream

My Place Metro Queen

My Fluke Safe Bet

My reasoning

Cinderella's Dream (8-10) and Metro Queen (8-10) share top weight in this six-horse field, yet the book makes Safe Bet (8-2) its Fav ourite — an 8-pound concession to the top two horses. In a tight six-runner Division III & IV race over 900m, that weight gap is a meaningful disadvantage. I promote Cinderella's Dream to my Fav ourite — it has been knocking on the door across recent meetings, listed as Fluke  twice, and the weight now fully supports a winning claim. Metro Queen, sharing that top weight, is my Place . Safe Bet drops to my Fluke  — the book's logic may rest on form, and in a small field Safe Bet retains every chance to surprise, just not as the top selection.

1	Cinderella's Dream (8-10)	Book Fluke  / My Fav
2	Metro Queen (8-10)	My Place  — joint top wt
3	Emerging Star (8-8)
4	Haseeb Warrior (8-2)	Book Place
5	Safe Bet (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Fluke
6	Safe Bet (8-2)

Race 4 · 8:45 PM The Summer Cup — Class VII Div I, II & III — 1000mCup

Field of 8

Book Fav Chaman

Book Place Falco

Book Fluke Mayya

My Fav Mayya

My Place Chaman

My Fluke Cinderella's Dream

My reasoning

The Summer Cup is the card's prestige event and the weight structure here tells a compelling story. Mayya (9-2) and Cinderella's Dream (8-10) lead the weights. The book makes Chaman (8-2) its Fav ourite — a horse carrying 14 pounds less than Mayya in the feature cup race. That concession in a term event over 1000m at the higher division levels is very difficult to justify. Mayya is my Fav ourite — it carries the authority of top weight in a cup, which across this entire season has proven a reliable indicator. Chaman drops to my Place ; the book's faith in it is not unfounded and it will be competitive. Cinderella's Dream (8-10) is my Fluke  — second highest weight in the field and a horse that has been elevated through the divisions with consistent near-misses; a cup run from a strong weight could finally see it land.

1	Mayya (9-2)	Book Fluke  / My Fav  — top wt
2	Chaman (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Place
3	Cinderella's Dream (8-10)	My Fluke  — 2nd top wt
4	Ustrana Love (8-2)
5	Moni Ka Rehman (8-8)
6	Pakiza (8-0)
7	Sarkar Raj (7-12)
8	Falco (8-6)	Book Place
9	Gul-e-Jalal (7-10)

Race 5 · 9:20 PM Class VII Div V — 900m

Field of 8

Book Fav Zaman Sahib

Book Place Fakhar-e-Sardar

Book Fluke Absolutely Not

My Fav Absolutely Not

My Place Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Fluke Zaman Sahib

My reasoning

Absolutely Not (9-0) is the outright top weight in this eight-horse Division V finale — carrying the maximum and, crucially, it has form as an upset winner earlier in this meeting. The book calls it the Fluke ; personal analysis makes it the Fav ourite. Zaman Sahib won the 36th day as the sole correct Fav ourite of that card and the book returns to it again — but now carrying 8-10 as second weight after a well-publicised victory, the handicapper and market will have both adjusted. Fakhar-e-Sardar (8-12) is consistent and reliable for Place  — agreement with the book on that slot. Zaman Sahib drops to my Fluke : a horse that just won, now facing revised weights and sharpened opposition, can find the Place d positions more attainable than a repeat win.

1	Absolutely Not (9-0)	Book Fluke  / My Fav  — top wt
2	Fakhar-e-Sardar (8-12)	Book & My Place
3	Zaman Sahib (8-10)	Book Fav  / My Fluke
4	Piyari (8-2)
5	Ammara's Dream (8-2)
6	Fayyum (8-4)
7	Babbar Sher (7-10)
8	Tiger of Sultan (7-10)

 

Full Race-by-Race Analysis — 37th Day

 

Race 1 — Class VII Div VI & VII Maiden, 900m, Field of 9 (+3) · 7:00 PM

A second successive maiden opener for the meeting, and the same fundamental challenge applies — without a form run to reference, the weights carry maximum authority. Mohtarma is the clear top weight at 9-0, the outright highest on the card, while the book's Fav ourite Sea Of Class carries just 7-4. That is a 10-pound concession in a maiden over 900 metres — a very significant ask for any horse without a previous run to prove it can overcome such a weight deficit. The book's continued faith in Sea Of Class across two meetings suggests paddock quality or breeding information that may not be visible in the weights alone, but the handicapper's assessment of Mohtarma must take priority.

True Promise (8-13) is a horse that has featured consistently across multiple cards without winning — that pattern points to a Place  rather than a win, and both book and personal analysis agree on that. Sea Of Class drops to my Fluke : if the book is correct about its ability, a placing remains the most likely outcome even if the Fav ourite call is too bold. Bilal One, the book's Fluke  at 7-11, is the lightweight outsider with the longest odds of featuring.

Race 2 — Class VII Div VI & VII, 900m, Field of 8 · 7:35 PM

Race 2 features the most intriguing weight cluster of the day — six horses all carrying 8-6, with Sher Dil and Self Belief above them at 8-10 and 8-6 respectively. When six horses share an identical weight in an eight-runner sprint, the race becomes a genuine lottery for the minor positions. The one certainty is that the top weights have the edge, which is why agreement with the book on Sher Dil as Fav ourite is straightforward.

The divergence comes in the Place  and Fluke . Self Belief won Race 1 outright on the 34th day — that winning form in this very company makes it my Place  selection over American Star, which the book Fav ours despite the same weight. Gallop In Glory, sitting in that cluster of six horses all on 8-6, is my Fluke  — in a sprint where six horses are genuinely level on weight, the surprise will come from within that group and Gallop In Glory is the least expected of them.

Race 3 — Class VII Div III & IV, 900m, Field of 6 · 8:10 PM

A six-horse race where the weight argument against the book's selection is at its most clear. Safe Bet at 8-2 is the book's Fav ourite, but Cinderella's Dream and Metro Queen both carry 8-10 — eight pounds more. In a Division III & IV race over 900 metres with only six runners, that weight gap between the horses that the handicapper rates highest and the book's choice is stark. Cinderella's Dream has been listed as a Fluke  on two consecutive cards and run with credit on both occasions — it is a horse overdue for a winning performance and the weights now fully support one. Metro Queen, sharing that top weight, is my Place . Safe Bet retains Fluke  status because in a small field it will be competitive; it just should not be starting the race as the market leader.

Race 4 — The Summer Cup, Class VII Div I, II & III, 1000m, Field of 8 · 8:45 PM

The Summer Cup is the card's prestige event and the one race where the weight argument is at its most emphatic. Mayya carries 9-2 — the heaviest weight on the entire 37th day card — in a multi-division cup race over 1000 metres. The book makes Chaman its Fav ourite at 8-2, conceding 14 pounds to the top weight in a term event. Across this entire meeting, the lesson that has emerged most consistently is that top-weighted horses in cup races win — Jim And Tonic at 9-2 won the QE II Challenge Cup, Chasing Eden dominated the April Cup and May Cup, Emerging Star at 9-2 won as the promoted Fav ourite on the 36th day. Mayya fits that profile precisely and is my Fav ourite without hesitation.

Chaman is my Place  — the book's faith in it is not without logic, and in a cup it will be competitive and Place . Cinderella's Dream at 8-10 is my Fluke  — second highest weight in the field, a horse trending upward through the divisions, and the Summer Cup distance of 1000m gives it more opportunity than a sprint to express its ability.

Race 5 — Class VII Div V, 900m, Field of 8 · 9:20 PM

The evening's finale features a fascinating rematch of familiar names. Absolutely Not carries 9-0 — top weight — and has form as a shock winner earlier in this season. The book makes it the Fluke  and Zaman Sahib the Fav ourite. The argument here follows the same logic applied throughout: Absolutely Not's top weight deserves respect, particularly as Zaman Sahib's win on the 36th day will have drawn attention from both the handicapper and the market. A horse returning after a publicised victory, now facing rivals who know exactly what it did, is vulnerable. Fakhar-e-Sardar is the one consistent selection that both book and personal analysis agree on — a reliable Place  performer throughout the season. Zaman Sahib drops to my Fluke : it remains quality enough to feature, just not necessarily as the outright winner a second time.