LRC refined strategy for 25th day meet

 

 

Predictions for Lahore Winter Meeting - Sunday, February 22nd, 2026 (25th Day)

REFINED STRATEGY BASED ON 3 WEEKS OF DATA

Asher Butt

 

Key Learnings Applied:

1. ✅ Elite records (9-2) > Recent winners - Quality over momentum
2. ✅ Experience (8-12) in their field - Context matters
3. ✅ My fluke picks are best (40% success rate)
4. ✅ Consistent placers - Track horses placing 2-3 consecutive weeks
5. ✅ Distance-specific form - Don't cross 1000m winners to 1400m+
6. ✅ Past major wins in Cup races - Research required
7. ✅ Jockey quality matters - Especially in competitive fields
8. ⚠️ Recent winners from late races (R5-R8) fail - Tired pattern
9. ⚠️ Unbeaten records rarely win (6.7% success rate)

 

Race-by-Race Predictions

Race 1 - Class VII Division-VI&VII (Maiden) - 1100m - 12:30 PM

Complete Field: Princess Arooj 6 (9-2), Singhar 2 (8-12), Baghi 7 (8-9), True My Love 8 (8-8), Majesty 3 (8-2), Faryum 5 (8-1), Abdullah Pasrur 4 (7-12), (+2 All)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Singhar
• Place: Abdullah Pasrur
• Fluke: Faryum

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Princess Arooj (6) - 9-2 ELITE record!
• Place: Singhar (2) - 8-12 most experienced
• Fluke: Abdullah Pasrur (4) - 7-12 veteran maiden

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🔥 PRINCESS AROOJ (9-2) - This is an ELITE record! Only 2 losses in 11 starts
• Week 3 lesson: Dawood Prince (9-2) won easily - this record tier WORKS
• Singhar (8-12) - Most experienced, placed 2nd Race 1 Week 2, consistent
• True My Love (8-8) - Balanced but lower than elite tier
• Majesty (8-2) - Has FAILED twice already (Week 1 R1, Week 2 R1)
• Faryum (8-1) - Limited experience but placed 3rd Week 2
• Abdullah Pasrur (7-12) - Most starts, veteran maiden
• (+2 All) - Larger field but Princess Arooj's record stands out

Why I disagree with book:

• Book has Singhar (8-12) as favourite - good experience but not elite
• 9-2 record is SUPERIOR to 8-12 - Fewer losses = higher quality
• Week 3 proved elite records (9-2) dominate

Confidence Level: 🟢 HIGH (Elite 9-2 record is gold standard)

 

Race 2 - Class VII Division-VI&VII - 1100m - 1:05 PM

Complete Field: Haseeb Thrill 6 (9-0), Naveed-e-Sahar 7 (8-12), Anni Power 3 (8-6), Mafnood JR 5 (8-6), American Star 4 (7-11), Silent Melody 8 (7-10), Self Belief 2 (7-10), Thunder Prince 9 (7-10)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Mafnood JR
• Place: American Star
• Fluke: Naveed-e-Sahar

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Naveed-e-Sahar (7) - 8-12 most experienced
• Place: Mafnood JR (5) - 8-6, placed 2nd Week 2 R2!
• Fluke: Anni Power (3) - 8-6 balanced record

Analysis & Reasoning:

• Naveed-e-Sahar (8-12) - Most experienced in field
• 🔥 MAFNOOD JR placed 2nd Week 2 Race 2! - Recent form, currently hot
• Haseeb Thrill (9-0) - Unbeaten but we know this pattern (6.7% success)
• American Star (7-11) - Placed 3rd Week 2 R2, has recent form
• Anni Power (8-6) - Decent record
• Self Belief (7-10) - FAILED in Week 2 R2 despite 8-0 record then

Why I partially agree with book:

• Book has Mafnood JR as favourite (I have as place)
• Mafnood JR's recent 2nd place IS valuable
• But Naveed-e-Sahar's 8-12 experience edge matters at 1100m

Key Factor: Mafnood JR's recent 2nd place (Week 2) shows current race fitness - this is the "consistent placer" pattern working!

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM-HIGH (Competitive between top two)

 

Race 3 - Class VII Division-III&IV - 1100m - 1:40 PM

Complete Field: Asif Princess 9 (9-0), Loud And Clear 6 (9-0), Luckvir 2 (8-10), Haseeb Thunder 8 (8-6), Pakiza 5 (8-4), Red Chilly 4 (8-4), Absolutely Not 10 (8-0), Lex Lugar 1 (7-10), Thunder Boy 7 (7-8)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Red Chilly
• Place: Loud And Clear
• Fluke: Haseeb Thunder

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Red Chilly (4) - 8-4 AND WON Race 3 Week 2, placed 2nd Week 3!
• Place: Luckvir (2) - 8-10 most experienced
• Fluke: Pakiza (5) - 8-4, placed 3rd Week 3 R3

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🏆 RED CHILLY - PROVEN WINNER!
• Won Race 3 Week 2 (came from back of pack)
• Placed 2nd Race 3 Week 3 (as expected)
• This is a QUALITY horse on form!
• Luckvir (8-10) - Most experienced
• Pakiza (8-4) - Placed 3rd last week same race
• Asif Princess (9-0) & Loud And Clear (9-0) - Two unbeaten but pattern fails
• Lex Lugar (7-10) - Could this be Lex LUGER? If so, dangerous!

CRITICAL QUESTION: Is "Lex Lugar" actually "Lex Luger" who won 3 races in a row Weeks 1-2?

• If YES: Co-favourite with Red Chilly!
• If NO: Red Chilly clear favourite

Why I agree with book:

• ✅ Book has Red Chilly as favourite - CORRECT!
• Red Chilly has proven quality and recent form
• This is a STRONG pick

Confidence Level: 🟢 HIGH (Red Chilly proven winner at this distance/class)

 

Race 4 - Class VII Division-II (Maiden) - 1000m - 2:15 PM

Complete Field: Best Call 11 (8-8), Ghunsa 2 (8-8), Fatteh Prince 10 (8-6), Almond Eye 4 (8-5), Secret Lady 8 (8-5), Crown Pharoah 5 (8-4), Golden Choice 7 (8-4), Prince of Dawaud 9 (8-2), Lord & Lion 6 (8-2), Shibra 3 (7-11)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Crown Pharoah
• Place: Lord & Lion
• Fluke: Golden Choice

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Shibra (3) - 7-11 MOST starts (maiden pattern!)
• Place: Best Call (11) - 8-8 tied most wins
• Fluke: Golden Choice (7) - 8-4 quality horse

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 1000m MAIDEN = Most starts wins pattern!
• Shibra (7-11) - 11 starts, most experienced (Week 1-2 pattern)
• Best Call & Ghunsa (8-8) - Equal records, competitive
• Lord & Lion (8-2) - Placed 3rd Shalimar Cup Week 1, has quality
• Golden Choice (8-4) - FAILED in Shalimar Cup Week 1 but class horse
• Crown Pharoah (8-4) - Placed 2nd Race 5 Week 3, has recent form!

Why I disagree with book:

• Book has Crown Pharoah as favourite
• Crown Pharoah DID place 2nd last week (valuable recent form)
• But maiden pattern at 1000m = MOST STARTS wins
• Shibra 11 starts > Crown Pharoah's recent 2nd

Conflict: Recent placer (Crown Pharoah) vs Most starts pattern (Shibra)

• 1000m maiden pattern has worked (Babbar Sher 7-13, Altaf Star)
• Crown Pharoah's recent 2nd is tempting but in different race (R5 1400m)

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Pattern vs Recent form conflict)

 

Race 5 - Class VII Division-I&II - 1000m - 2:50 PM

Complete Field: New York City 3 (8-10), Dubawi's Angel 5 (8-10), Casino (Krc) 6 (8-4), Brigadier 4 (8-4), Golden Heart 7 (7-12), Samore City 2 (7-12), (+6 Div.I)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: New York City
• Place: Golden Heart
• Fluke: Samore City

My Predictions:

• Favourite: New York City (3) - 8-10 tied most experienced
• Place: Dubawi's Angel (5) - 8-10 equally experienced
• Fluke: Golden Heart (7) - 7-12 veteran

Analysis & Reasoning:

• New York City (8-10) - Placed 3rd Race 7 Week 2 (Derby Trials photo finish)
• Dubawi's Angel (8-10) - Equally experienced
• (+6 Div.I) - Large field means chaos
• Golden Heart (7-12) - Placed 3rd Week 3 R4
• Samore City (7-12) - Equal to Golden Heart
• Two horses at 8-10 - Very competitive

Why I agree with book:

• ✅ Book has New York City as favourite - CORRECT
• New York City has Derby Trials experience (major race)
• Good quality field

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Two equal 8-10 horses, large field)

 

Race 6 - Class VII Division-V&VI - 1100m - 3:25 PM

Complete Field: Princess Anaya(Krc)3 (8-0), Shahan Shah 5 (8-10), Augustus 7 (8-6), Bodrum 4 (8-6), Dur-e-And 6 (8-6), Zindagi 3 (8-6), Zaman Sahib 2 (8-0), Pocket Power 9 (7-12)

Book Predictions:

• Favourite: Bodrum
• Place: Zindagi
• Fluke: Shahan Shah

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Shahan Shah (5) - 8-10 most experienced
• Place: Augustus (7) - 8-6 AND WON Week 2 R1 & R2 back-to-back!
• Fluke: Pocket Power (9) - 7-12 veteran

Analysis & Reasoning:

• Shahan Shah (8-10) - Most experienced, placed 2nd Week 2 R3
• 🏆 AUGUSTUS (8-6) - Won back-to-back Weeks 1-2 R1→R2!
• Won Week 1 Race 1 (upset)
• Won Week 2 Race 2 (back-to-back)
• Has NOT raced Week 3 - FRESH!
• Now racing again - 2 week break might help!
• Four horses at 8-6 - Very competitive (Bodrum, Dur-e-And, Zindagi)
• Princess Anaya (8-0) & Zaman Sahib (8-0) - Unbeaten pattern fails
• Zaman Sahib FAILED twice (Week 1 R2, Week 2 R2)

Why I disagree with book:

• Book has Bodrum as favourite (8-6)
• Book has Shahan Shah as FLUKE (I have as favourite!)
• Shahan Shah's 8-10 > Bodrum's 8-6 - More experience
• Augustus is WILD CARD - Fresh from 2-week rest after back-to-back wins

Key Factor: Augustus had 2-week break - may be rested and ready! But also could be "cold" from no racing.

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Competitive field, multiple 8-6 horses)

 

SUMMARY OF PREDICTIONS

Book vs My Predictions Comparison:

Race	Book Favourite	My Favourite	Agreement?	Key Difference
1	Singhar (8-12)	Princess Arooj (9-2)	❌	Elite 9-2 record vs experience
2	Mafnood JR (8-6)	Naveed-e-Sahar (8-12)	❌	Recent placer vs most experienced
3	Red Chilly (8-4)	Red Chilly (8-4)	✅	AGREE - Proven winner!
4	Crown Pharoah (8-4)	Shibra (7-11)	❌	Recent placer vs maiden pattern
5	New York City (8-10)	New York City (8-10)	✅	AGREE
6	Bodrum (8-6)	Shahan Shah (8-10)	❌	Experience vs book pick

Agreements: 2/6 (33%)

 

🔥 MY STRONGEST PICKS:

1. Princess Arooj (Race 1) 🌟 - Elite 9-2 record (Week 3 lesson applied)
2. Red Chilly (Race 3) 🏆 - Won Week 2, placed Week 3, PROVEN quality
3. New York City (Race 5) - Derby Trials experience, most experienced

💎 VALUE PICKS (My Flukes):

1. Abdullah Pasrur (Race 1) - Veteran maiden 7-12
2. Pakiza (Race 3) - Placed last week same race
3. Golden Choice (Race 4) - Quality from Shalimar Cup
4. Pocket Power (Race 6) - 7-12 veteran

⚡ WILD CARDS:

1. Mafnood JR (Race 2) - Placed 2nd Week 2, recent form
2. Augustus (Race 6) - Back-to-back winner Week 1-2, fresh from 2-week break
3. Lex Lugar (Race 3) - If this is Lex Luger, MAJOR threat!

🎯 CONSISTENT PLACERS TO WATCH:

1. Red Chilly - Won Week 2, 2nd Week 3, racing again
2. Mafnood JR - 2nd Week 2, racing again
3. Shahan Shah - 2nd Week 2, racing again
4. Crown Pharoah - 2nd Week 3, racing again

 

STRATEGIC INSIGHTS

Key Patterns Applied:

✅ Elite 9-2 record prioritized (Princess Arooj)
✅ Proven recent winners (Red Chilly won Week 2, placed Week 3)
✅ Consistent placers (Mafnood JR, Crown Pharoah, Shahan Shah)
✅ Maiden pattern (1000m) - Most starts (Shibra 7-11)
✅ Experience advantage (8-10, 8-12 records)
✅ Fresh horses (Augustus 2-week break)
⚠️ Avoiding unbeaten without proof (6.7% success rate)

Where I'm Gambling:

1. Race 1: Princess Arooj (9-2) over Singhar (8-12) - Elite record bet
2. Race 2: Naveed-e-Sahar over Mafnood JR - Experience vs recent placer
3. Race 4: Shibra (most starts) over Crown Pharoah (recent placer) - Pattern vs form
4. Race 6: Shahan Shah over Bodrum - Experience vs book pick

Where I Agree with Book:

1. Race 3: Red Chilly - STRONG AGREE, proven winner
2. Race 5: New York City - Quality horse with experience

 

CONFIDENCE LEVELS BY RACE:

🟢 HIGH CONFIDENCE:

• Race 1: Princess Arooj (Elite 9-2 record)
• Race 3: Red Chilly (Proven winner, recent form)

🟡 MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE:

• Race 2: Naveed-e-Sahar (Most experienced)
• Race 5: New York City (Derby Trials veteran)

🟡 MEDIUM CONFIDENCE:

• Race 4: Shibra (Maiden pattern vs recent form conflict)
• Race 6: Shahan Shah (Competitive field)

 

CRITICAL QUESTIONS:

1. Is "Lex Lugar" (Race 3) actually "Lex Luger"?
• If YES: Major threat, possible co-favourite
• If NO: Red Chilly clear favourite
2. Will Augustus' 2-week break help or hurt?
• Fresh legs = advantage?
• Or cold from no racing = disadvantage?
3. Crown Pharoah vs Shibra (Race 4)?
• Recent 2nd place form (Crown Pharoah)
• vs Most starts maiden pattern (Shibra)
• Which matters more?

 

PREDICTION STRATEGY SUMMARY:

This week I'm prioritizing:

1. Elite records (9-2) - Week 3 lesson
2. Proven recent winners (Red Chilly)
3. Consistent placers (Mafnood JR, Shahan Shah, Crown Pharoah)
4. Experience in context (8-10, 8-12 in their fields)
5. Maiden patterns (most starts at 1000m)
6. Fresh horses (Augustus 2-week break)

This week I'm avoiding:

1. Unbeaten records without proof (6.7% success)
2. Over-reliance on single recent race (balanced view)
3. Book picks without verification (trust my patterns)

 

BEST BETS OF THE DAY:

Win Bets:

1. Princess Arooj (Race 1) - Elite 9-2 record
2. Red Chilly (Race 3) - Proven winner on form
3. New York City (Race 5) - Experience + quality

Each-Way/Place Bets:

1. Mafnood JR (Race 2) - Recent 2nd place
2. Shahan Shah (Race 6) - Most experienced
3. Augustus (Race 6) - Wild card fresh from rest

Value/Longshot:

1. Shibra (Race 4) - Maiden pattern play
2. Pakiza (Race 3) - Recent placer
3. Abdullah Pasrur (Race 1) - Veteran maiden

LRC 24th day meet

 

LRC 24^th day meet

Predictions for Lahore Winter Meeting - Sunday, February 15th, 2026 (24th Day)

 

Asher Butt

APPLYING LESSONS FROM WEEKS 1 & 2

Key Strategy:

1. ✅ PRIORITIZE RECENT WINNERS - Augustus & Lex Luger won back-to-back
2. ✅ Track winning streaks - Hot form is everything
3. ✅ Experience (8-10, 8-12) over unbeaten records
4. ✅ Avoid Race 5-6 winners from last week - May be tired
5. ✅ In maidens: Most starts wins

 

Race-by-Race Predictions

Race 1 - Class VII Division-VI&VII - 1000m - 11:30 AM

Complete Field: Anni Power 4 (9-0), Jutt Princess 14 (8-11), Baghi 8 (8-11), Barrister 6 (8-10), True My Love 13 (8-10), Altaf Star 2 (8-10), Singhar 5 (8-8), Raees Sahib 12 (8-6), Self Belief 10 (8-0), Faryum 11 (7-13), American Star 9 (7-10), Abdullah Pasrur 7 (7-10), Thunder Lady 3 (7-10)

Book Predictions: favourite Anni Power, place American Star, fluke Barrister

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Barrister (6) - 8-10 AND placed 2nd last week Race 2!
• Place: True My Love (13) - 8-10 experienced
• Fluke: Altaf Star (2) - 8-10, placed 3rd two weeks ago

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🔥 BARRISTER IS KEY - Placed 2nd last week in Race 2 (Augustus won). Current form!
• Anni Power (9-0) - Unbeaten but we know this pattern fails (12.5% success rate)
• American Star (7-10) - Placed 3rd last week but lower record
• Three horses at 8-10 - Very competitive, could go any way
• Self Belief (8-0) - Unbeaten, failed last week Race 2
• Singhar (8-8) - Placed 2nd two weeks ago in Race 1

Key Factor: Barrister's recent 2nd place shows current race fitness. Following the pattern: recent placers keep performing.

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Competitive field with multiple 8-10 horses)

 

Race 2 - Class VII Division-V&VI - 1000m - 12:05 PM

Complete Field: Dawood Prince 10 (9-2), Shahan Shah 7 (8-10), Black Fire 12 (8-10), King Asia 5 (8-8), Zindagi 6 (8-6), Yes Commander 8 (8-4), Naveed-e-Sahar 11 (8-2), Zaman Sahib 9 (8-0), Lucky Macs 4 (8-0), Babbar Sher 3 (7-12), Pocket Power 2 (7-10), Mafnood JR 13 (7-10)

Book Predictions: favourite Dawood Prince, place Zindagi, fluke Shahansha

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Babbar Sher (3) - 7-12 AND WON LAST WEEK Race 1!
• Place: Shahan Shah (7) - 8-10, placed 2nd two weeks ago
• Fluke: Black Fire (12) - 8-10 solid record

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🏆 BABBAR SHER WON LAST WEEK! - Race 1 winner, hot form
• Dawood Prince (9-2) - Interesting record, only 2 losses in 11 races
• Zaman Sahib (8-0) - Unbeaten but FAILED twice already (Week 1 R2, Week 2 R2)
• Lucky Macs (8-0) - Another unbeaten, avoid pattern
• Babbar Sher's 7-12 record shows stamina and experience
• Following Augustus/Lex Luger pattern - Recent winners repeat

Key Factor: Babbar Sher proved itself last week. Confidence high, race-fit, should repeat.

Confidence Level: 🟢 HIGH (Recent winner with momentum)

 

Race 3 - Class VIII Division-III&IV - 1000m - 12:40 PM

Complete Field: Paddington 10 (9-0), Luckvir 6 (9-0), Rafah 5 (8-12), Haseeb Thunder 12 (8-10), Pakiza 7 (8-4), PrincessAnaya(Krc)15 (8-2), Zarbi 13 (8-2), Red Chilly 9 (8-2), Shareeka 11 (8-0), Rutba 2 (8-0), Lex Lugar 4 (8-0), Imperius 3 (7-12), Gondal Baba 14 (7-10), (X Gondal One), Thunder Boy 8 (7-8)

Book Predictions: favourite Rafah, place Red Chilly, fluke Pakiza

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Paddington (10) - 9-0 AND WON LAST WEEK Race 6!
• Place: Imperius (3) - 7-12, placed 3rd last week, CONSISTENT!
• Fluke: Rafah (5) - 8-12 most experienced

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🏆 PADDINGTON WON LAST WEEK! - Dominated Race 6, "galloped into Winner's Enclosure"
• ⭐ This is THE pick of the day - Paddington is the real deal
• Imperius (7-12) - Placed 2nd Week 1, 3rd Week 2. CONSISTENT placer!
• Lex Lugar (8-0) - Wait, this can't be the same Lex Luger who won 3 in a row?
• CRITICAL: If this is Lex LUGER (not Lugar), he's on a 3-win streak!
• If it's Lex Luger: Co-favourite with Paddington
• Luckvir (9-0) - Unbeaten but no recent racing
• Rafah (8-12) - Most experienced, good fluke

IMPORTANT QUESTION: Is "Lex Lugar (8-0)" actually "Lex Luger" who won 3 races in a row?

• If YES: This race is Paddington vs Lex Luger - EPIC!
• If NO: Paddington clear favourite

Confidence Level: 🟢 HIGH (Paddington proven winner)

 

Race 4 - Class VII Division-II&III - 1000m - 1:15 PM

Complete Field: Flash 4 (9-2), Golden Heart 8 (9-0), Gul-e-Jalal 9 (8-10), Tez Tareen 7 (8-8), Loud And Clear 3 (8-6), Asif Princess 6 (8-6), Khokhar One 2 (8-4), Waqat 5 (7-12)

Book Predictions: favourite Flash, place Khokhar One, fluke Loud and Clear

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Flash (4) - 9-2 excellent record
• Place: Golden Heart (8) - 9-0 unbeaten
• Fluke: Gul-e-Jalal (9) - 8-10 experienced

Analysis & Reasoning:

• Flash (9-2) - Only 2 losses, strong favourite
• Golden Heart (9-0) - Unbeaten but cautious about this pattern
• Khokhar One (8-4) - Placed 3rd in Race 5 two weeks ago, then failed last week
• Tez Tareen (8-8) - Balanced record
• No recent winners from last week in this field
• Flash's 9-2 record is exceptional - quality wins

Key Factor: Flash has proven quality without the "unbeaten curse" - has faced competition and won.

Confidence Level: 🟢 MEDIUM-HIGH (Flash's record is strong)

 

Race 5 - JDW Stud Invitational Cup (3-year-old Colts & Fillies) - 1400m - 1:50 PM ⭐

Complete Field: Coach House Candy4 (8-11), Prestige Queen 7 (7-13), Pretty Girl 3 (7-13), Frankie 2 (7-10), Sajal 5 (7-10), Sysmed Queen 6 (7-7)

Book Predictions: favourite Coach House Candy, place Prestige Queen, fluke Sajal

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Coach House Candy4 (8-11) - Best record in field
• Place: Prestige Queen (7) - 7-13 most experienced
• Fluke: Pretty Girl (3) - 7-13 equally experienced

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 1400m distance - Longer race, stamina matters
• Coach House Candy4 (8-11) - Only horse with 8+ record
• Small field (6 horses) - Less chaos, more predictable
• Prestige Queen & Pretty Girl both 7-13 - most starts, experience edge
• Sajal (7-10) - Placed 2nd in Shalimar Cup Week 1, quality horse
• 3-year-old term race - Young horses, unpredictable

Key Factor: Coach House Candy4 has class advantage, but Sajal has proven quality from Shalimar Cup.

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Term race, quality field)

 

Race 6 - Pakistan Oaks Cup (4-year-old Fillies) - 2000m - 2:25 PM ⭐⭐

Complete Field: Dilbar 3 (8-12), Moni Queen 7 (8-12), Nisha 5 (8-12), Princess Sara 6 (8-12), Qiemat 2 (8-12), Ronaq 4 (8-12)

Book Predictions: favourite Ronaq, place Dilbar, fluke Qismat

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Dilbar (3) - 8-12 (All tied!)
• Place: Moni Queen (7) - 8-12
• Fluke: Nisha (5) - 8-12

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🤯 ALL SIX HORSES HAVE IDENTICAL 8-12 RECORDS!
• This is the most unpredictable race of the day
• 2000m distance - Longest race, pure stamina test
• 4-year-old fillies only - Quality restricted field
• No way to differentiate on records - All equally experienced
• Post position, jockey, current form will decide this

Key Factor: Without recent racing data or additional info, this is a pure guess. Could go to ANY horse.

Confidence Level: 🔴 VERY LOW (Impossible to predict with identical records)

 

Race 7 - Derby Trials Cup (4-year-old Pakistani Colts & Fillies, Foaled 2022) - 2000m - 3:00 PM ⭐⭐⭐

Complete Field: Hi Volt 7 (9-0), Hall Road 2 (9-0), Jupiter 5 (9-0), New York City 8 (9-0), Nawab Prince(Krc) 9 (9-0), One Man Band 3 (9-0), Prince Eissa 6 (9-0), Sardar Bey 4 (9-0)

Book Predictions: favourite One Man Band, place Jupitar, fluke Prince Essa

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Hi Volt (7) - 9-0 AND WON LAST WEEK Race 4!
• Place: New York City (8) - 9-0, placed 3rd two weeks ago
• Fluke: Nawab Prince (9) - 9-0, placed 3rd two weeks ago

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🤯 ALL EIGHT HORSES ARE UNBEATEN 9-0!
• 🏆 BUT Hi Volt WON LAST WEEK - Race 4 as "electrifies the track"
• This is DERBY TRIALS - Major race, highest quality field
• Hi Volt has proven itself against competition (won last week)
• New York City - Photo finished for 3rd two weeks ago, close call
• Nawab Prince - Also placed 3rd two weeks ago
• All foaled 2022 - Same age, same experience timeline
• 2000m marathon - Different from sprints

Key Factor: Hi Volt's recent win is THE differentiator. Only horse with proven current form.

Confidence Level: 🟢 HIGH (Hi Volt's recent win breaks the tie)

 

Race 8 - Class VI Division-III&IV - 1400m - 3:35 PM

Complete Field: Perfect Again 4 (9-0), Ceaser 3 (8-10), Feel My Love 7 (8-4), Luna Afzaal 9 (8-2), Sher Khan 6 (8-2), Winx 5 (8-2), Quality Street 8 (8-2), Dominus 2 (7-12), (+4 All)

Book Predictions: favourite Feel My Love, place Dominus, fluke Perfect Again

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Sher Khan (6) - 8-2 AND WON LAST WEEK Race 7 as upset!
• Place: Ceaser (3) - 8-10 experienced
• Fluke: Feel My Love (7) - 8-4, placed 2nd in Race 4 last week

Analysis & Reasoning:

• 🏆 SHER KHAN WON LAST WEEK! - Race 7 upset, "got through at the rail"
• Feel My Love - Placed 2nd last week Race 4 (Hi Volt won), current form
• Ceaser (8-10) - Most experienced, solid place bet
• Perfect Again (9-0) - Unbeaten but no recent racing
• Winx (8-2) - IF this is the same "Winx/Winz" who won Cup, DANGEROUS!
• (+4 All) - Large field = more chaos
• 1400m distance - Suits Sher Khan's closing style

CRITICAL: Need to confirm if Winx here is same horse from Week 2 Khalid Bin Waleed Cup!

Confidence Level: 🟢 MEDIUM-HIGH (Sher Khan recent winner)

 

Race 9 - Ghaznavi Cup Class-VII Division-II (Maiden) - 1400m - 4:10 PM ⭐

Complete Field: Fatteh Prince 7 (8-8), Moni Ka Rehman 5 (8-8), Green Card 4 (8-6), Lord & Lion 6 (8-4), Prince of Dawaud 8 (8-4), Queen of Pharoah 3 (8-3), Dubawi's Dream 9 (7-13), Peelo Wains 2 (7-11)

Book Predictions: favourite Queen Of Pharoah, place Lord And Lion, fluke Peelu Winners

My Predictions: 

• Favourite: Dubawi's Dream (9) - 7-13 MOST starts (maiden pattern!)
• Place: Peelo Wains (2) - 7-11, placed 3rd last week Race 5
• Fluke: Fatteh Prince (7) - 8-8 balanced

Analysis & Reasoning:

• MAIDEN RACE PATTERN: Most starts wins (Babbar Sher 7-13, Augustus 8-10 pattern)
• Dubawi's Dream (7-13) - 13 starts, most experienced
• Peelo Wains (7-11) - Placed 3rd last week, current form
• Lord & Lion (8-4) - Placed 3rd in Shalimar Cup Week 1, quality
• 1400m maiden - Longer distance favors stamina/experience
• Cup race (Ghaznavi Cup) - Competitive field

Key Factor: In maidens, MOST STARTS has been the winning pattern. Dubawi's Dream has 13 starts.

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Maiden race, but pattern is clear)

 

Race 10 - Class VII Division-I - 1400m - 4:45 PM

Complete Field: Public Star 3 (8-12), Sikandar 4 (8-6), Moni Prince 8 (8-4), Dubawi's Angel 2 (8-4), Brigadier 5 (8-2), Power Show 6 (7-12), Casino (Krc) 7 (7-12)

Book Predictions: favourite Sikander, place Moni Prince, fluke Public Star

My Predictions:

• Favourite: Public Star (3) - 8-12 most experienced
• Place: Power Show (6) - 7-12, placed 2nd last week Race 7
• Fluke: Moni Prince (8) - 8-4 quality horse

Analysis & Reasoning:

• Public Star (8-12) - Most experienced, was 9-0 two weeks ago but lost Race 7
• Power Show (7-12) - Placed 2nd last week Race 7 (Sher Khan won), current form
• Moni Prince (8-4) - Won Week 1 Race 8, but failed Week 2 Cup. Proven winner.
• Sikandar (8-6) - Placed 3rd last week Race 4, could surprise
• 1400m distance - Longer race, experience matters
• Final race - Fatigue factor for horses

Key Factor: Power Show's recent 2nd place shows current form. Public Star has class.

Confidence Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Competitive, multiple contenders)

 

SUMMARY OF PREDICTIONS

🔥 STRONGEST PICKS (Recent Winners):

1. Babbar Sher (Race 2) 🏆 - Won last week Race 1
2. Paddington (Race 3) 🏆 - Won last week Race 6
3. Hi Volt (Race 7) 🏆 - Won last week Race 4, Derby Trials favorite
4. Sher Khan (Race 8) 🏆 - Won last week Race 7

💎 STRONG CONTENDERS (Recent Placers):

1. Barrister (Race 1) - 2nd place last week
2. Imperius (Race 3) - Consistent placer (2nd, then 3rd)
3. Feel My Love (Race 8) - 2nd place last week
4. Power Show (Race 10) - 2nd place last week
5. Peelo Wains (Race 9) - 3rd place last week

⚡ WILD CARDS:

1. Lex Lugar (Race 3) - IF this is Lex Luger on 3-win streak!
2. Winx (Race 8) - IF this is Cup winner from last week!
3. Flash (Race 4) - Excellent 9-2 record

⚠️ RACES TO AVOID BETTING:

• Race 6 (Pakistan Oaks) - All horses 8-12, impossible to predict
• Race 7 (Derby Trials) - All horses 9-0 except Hi Volt has edge

 

CRITICAL QUESTIONS NEEDING ANSWERS:

1. Is "Lex Lugar (8-0)" in Race 3 actually "Lex Luger" who won 3 races in a row?
• If YES: Paddington vs Lex Luger is EPIC showdown
• If NO: Paddington clear favorite
2. Is "Winx (8-2)" in Race 8 the same horse who won Khalid Bin Waleed Cup last week?
• If YES: Major threat to Sher Khan
• If NO: Sher Khan clear favorite
3. What are the book predictions?
• Need to compare with expert opinions

 

PREDICTION STRATEGY APPLIED:

✅ Prioritized 4 recent winners (Babbar Sher, Paddington, Hi Volt, Sher Khan)
✅ Valued recent placers (Barrister, Imperius, Feel My Love, Power Show)
✅ Avoided unbeaten records without recent racing (learned from 12.5% success rate)
✅ Applied maiden pattern (most starts wins - Dubawi's Dream 7-13)
✅ Considered distance changes (1400m, 2000m favor stamina)
✅ Factored in race quality (Derby Trials, Cup races)

 

CONFIDENCE LEVELS BY RACE:

🟢 HIGH: Race 2, 3, 7, 8 (Recent winners)
🟡 MEDIUM: Race 1, 4, 5, 9, 10 (Competitive but clear favorites)
🔴 LOW: Race 6 (Identical records, pure luck)

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BEST BETS OF THE DAY:

Win Bets:

1. Hi Volt (Race 7) - Derby Trials, proven recent winner
2. Paddington (Race 3) - Dominant last week
3. Babbar Sher (Race 2) - Recent winner, clear favorite

Each-Way/Place Bets:

1. Imperius (Race 3) - Most consistent placer
2. Power Show (Race 10) - Recent 2nd place
3. Barrister (Race 1) - Recent 2nd place

Value/Longshot:

1. Dubawi's Dream (Race 9) - Maiden pattern play
2. Moni Prince (Race 10) - Past champion returning