37th Day —
Lahore Winter Meeting 2025–26 Sunday, 17th May 2026 · Five Races · All Class
VII
By Asher Butt
Race 1 ·
7:00 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden) — 900m Maiden
Field of
9 (+3)
Book Fav Sea
Of Class
Book Place
True Promise
Book Fluke
Bilal One
My Fav Mohtarma
My Place True
Promise
My Fluke Sea
Of Class
My
reasoning
Mohtarma
carries 9-0 — the outright top weight in this maiden field by a clear margin.
On the 36th day Sea Of Class ran second as a maiden Fav ourite; it has since
been Place d and the book continues to back it, but it carries only 7-4 here,
conceding a full 10 pounds to Mohtarma. In a maiden over 900m, that weight
concession is difficult to overcome. True Promise (8-13) is my Place — it has appeared on multiple cards without
winning and the consistent near-miss profile suggests a Place is its most likely outcome. Sea Of Class drops
to my Fluke ; the book's confidence in it across two meetings is not without
foundation, and if the weight theory fails, it is the most likely beneficiary.
|
1 |
Mohtarma
(9-0) |
My Fav — outright top wt |
|
2 |
True
Promise (8-13) |
Book Place
/ My Place |
|
3 |
Bilal
Love (8-9) |
|
|
4 |
Hassan
Star (8-5) |
|
|
5 |
True My
Love (8-5) |
|
|
6 |
Barbaro
(8-4) |
|
|
7 |
Sea Of
Class (7-4) |
Book Fav
/ My Fluke |
|
8 |
Shera
Choice (7-12) |
|
|
9 |
Bilal
One (7-11) |
Book Fluke
+3 |
Race 2 ·
7:35 PM Class VII Div VI & VII — 900m
Field of
8
Book Fav Sher
Dil
Book Place
American Star
Book Fluke
Haseeb Thrill
My Fav Sher
Dil
My Place Self
Belief
My Fluke Gallop
In Glory
My
reasoning
Sher Dil
(8-10) carries joint top weight alongside Self Belief and Haseeb Thrill — but
Sher Dil has demonstrated enough consistent form across this season to be
trusted as Fav ourite, and the book is correct. Agreement is full on the top
selection. I diverge on the Place : Self Belief (8-6) won Race 1 on the 34th
day outright and has been running in this division since — a proven winner in
the company deserves a Place slot ahead
of American Star (8-6). Gallop In Glory (8-6) is my Fluke — three horses sit on the same 8-6 weight and
in a sprint over 900m, any one of them can land. Gallop In Glory is the least
expected of the three, making it the natural Fluke pick.
|
1 |
Sher
Dil (8-10) |
Book
& My Fav — top wt |
|
2 |
Self
Belief (8-6) |
My Place
— prev. winner |
|
3 |
Haseeb
Thrill (8-6) |
Book Fluke
|
|
4 |
American
Star (8-6) |
Book Place
|
|
5 |
Star
Crown (8-6) |
|
|
6 |
Gallop
In Glory (8-6) |
My Fluke
|
|
7 |
Silent
Melody (8-6) |
|
|
8 |
Sosig
Go (8-6) |
Race 3 ·
8:10 PM Class VII Div III & IV — 900m
Field of
6
Book Fav Safe
Bet
Book Place
Haseeb Warrior
Book Fluke
Cinderella's Dream
My Fav Cinderella's
Dream
My Place Metro
Queen
My Fluke Safe
Bet
My
reasoning
Cinderella's
Dream (8-10) and Metro Queen (8-10) share top weight in this six-horse field,
yet the book makes Safe Bet (8-2) its Fav ourite — an 8-pound concession to the
top two horses. In a tight six-runner Division III & IV race over 900m,
that weight gap is a meaningful disadvantage. I promote Cinderella's Dream to
my Fav ourite — it has been knocking on the door across recent meetings, listed
as Fluke twice, and the weight now fully
supports a winning claim. Metro Queen, sharing that top weight, is my Place .
Safe Bet drops to my Fluke — the book's
logic may rest on form, and in a small field Safe Bet retains every chance to
surprise, just not as the top selection.
|
1 |
Cinderella's
Dream (8-10) |
Book Fluke
/ My Fav |
|
2 |
Metro
Queen (8-10) |
My Place
— joint top wt |
|
3 |
Emerging
Star (8-8) |
|
|
4 |
Haseeb
Warrior (8-2) |
Book Place
|
|
5 |
Safe
Bet (8-2) |
Book Fav
/ My Fluke |
|
6 |
Safe
Bet (8-2) |
Race 4 ·
8:45 PM The Summer Cup — Class VII Div I, II & III — 1000mCup
Field of
8
Book Fav Chaman
Book Place
Falco
Book Fluke
Mayya
My Fav Mayya
My Place Chaman
My Fluke Cinderella's
Dream
My
reasoning
The
Summer Cup is the card's prestige event and the weight structure here tells a
compelling story. Mayya (9-2) and Cinderella's Dream (8-10) lead the weights.
The book makes Chaman (8-2) its Fav ourite — a horse carrying 14 pounds less
than Mayya in the feature cup race. That concession in a term event over 1000m
at the higher division levels is very difficult to justify. Mayya is my Fav ourite
— it carries the authority of top weight in a cup, which across this entire
season has proven a reliable indicator. Chaman drops to my Place ; the book's
faith in it is not unfounded and it will be competitive. Cinderella's Dream
(8-10) is my Fluke — second highest
weight in the field and a horse that has been elevated through the divisions
with consistent near-misses; a cup run from a strong weight could finally see
it land.
|
1 |
Mayya
(9-2) |
Book Fluke
/ My Fav — top wt |
|
2 |
Chaman
(8-2) |
Book Fav
/ My Place |
|
3 |
Cinderella's
Dream (8-10) |
My Fluke
— 2nd top wt |
|
4 |
Ustrana
Love (8-2) |
|
|
5 |
Moni Ka
Rehman (8-8) |
|
|
6 |
Pakiza
(8-0) |
|
|
7 |
Sarkar
Raj (7-12) |
|
|
8 |
Falco
(8-6) |
Book Place
|
|
9 |
Gul-e-Jalal
(7-10) |
Race 5 ·
9:20 PM Class VII Div V — 900m
Field of
8
Book Fav Zaman
Sahib
Book Place
Fakhar-e-Sardar
Book Fluke
Absolutely Not
My Fav Absolutely
Not
My Place Fakhar-e-Sardar
My Fluke Zaman
Sahib
My
reasoning
Absolutely
Not (9-0) is the outright top weight in this eight-horse Division V finale —
carrying the maximum and, crucially, it has form as an upset winner earlier in
this meeting. The book calls it the Fluke ; personal analysis makes it the Fav ourite.
Zaman Sahib won the 36th day as the sole correct Fav ourite of that card and
the book returns to it again — but now carrying 8-10 as second weight after a
well-publicised victory, the handicapper and market will have both adjusted.
Fakhar-e-Sardar (8-12) is consistent and reliable for Place — agreement with the book on that slot. Zaman
Sahib drops to my Fluke : a horse that just won, now facing revised weights and
sharpened opposition, can find the Place d positions more attainable than a
repeat win.
|
1 |
Absolutely
Not (9-0) |
Book Fluke
/ My Fav — top wt |
|
2 |
Fakhar-e-Sardar
(8-12) |
Book
& My Place |
|
3 |
Zaman
Sahib (8-10) |
Book Fav
/ My Fluke |
|
4 |
Piyari
(8-2) |
|
|
5 |
Ammara's
Dream (8-2) |
|
|
6 |
Fayyum
(8-4) |
|
|
7 |
Babbar
Sher (7-10) |
|
|
8 |
Tiger
of Sultan (7-10) |
Full
Race-by-Race Analysis — 37th Day
Race 1 —
Class VII Div VI & VII Maiden, 900m, Field of 9 (+3) · 7:00 PM
A second
successive maiden opener for the meeting, and the same fundamental challenge
applies — without a form run to reference, the weights carry maximum authority.
Mohtarma is the clear top weight at 9-0, the outright highest on the card,
while the book's Fav ourite Sea Of Class carries just 7-4. That is a 10-pound
concession in a maiden over 900 metres — a very significant ask for any horse
without a previous run to prove it can overcome such a weight deficit. The
book's continued faith in Sea Of Class across two meetings suggests paddock
quality or breeding information that may not be visible in the weights alone,
but the handicapper's assessment of Mohtarma must take priority.
True Promise
(8-13) is a horse that has featured consistently across multiple cards without
winning — that pattern points to a Place rather than a win, and both book and personal
analysis agree on that. Sea Of Class drops to my Fluke : if the book is correct
about its ability, a placing remains the most likely outcome even if the Fav ourite
call is too bold. Bilal One, the book's Fluke at 7-11, is the lightweight outsider with the
longest odds of featuring.
Race 2 —
Class VII Div VI & VII, 900m, Field of 8 · 7:35 PM
Race 2
features the most intriguing weight cluster of the day — six horses all
carrying 8-6, with Sher Dil and Self Belief above them at 8-10 and 8-6
respectively. When six horses share an identical weight in an eight-runner
sprint, the race becomes a genuine lottery for the minor positions. The one
certainty is that the top weights have the edge, which is why agreement with
the book on Sher Dil as Fav ourite is straightforward.
The
divergence comes in the Place and Fluke .
Self Belief won Race 1 outright on the 34th day — that winning form in this
very company makes it my Place selection
over American Star, which the book Fav ours despite the same weight. Gallop In
Glory, sitting in that cluster of six horses all on 8-6, is my Fluke — in a sprint where six horses are genuinely
level on weight, the surprise will come from within that group and Gallop In
Glory is the least expected of them.
Race 3 —
Class VII Div III & IV, 900m, Field of 6 · 8:10 PM
A six-horse
race where the weight argument against the book's selection is at its most
clear. Safe Bet at 8-2 is the book's Fav ourite, but Cinderella's Dream and
Metro Queen both carry 8-10 — eight pounds more. In a Division III & IV
race over 900 metres with only six runners, that weight gap between the horses
that the handicapper rates highest and the book's choice is stark. Cinderella's
Dream has been listed as a Fluke on two
consecutive cards and run with credit on both occasions — it is a horse overdue
for a winning performance and the weights now fully support one. Metro Queen,
sharing that top weight, is my Place . Safe Bet retains Fluke status because in a small field it will be
competitive; it just should not be starting the race as the market leader.
Race 4 — The
Summer Cup, Class VII Div I, II & III, 1000m, Field of 8 · 8:45 PM
The Summer
Cup is the card's prestige event and the one race where the weight argument is
at its most emphatic. Mayya carries 9-2 — the heaviest weight on the entire
37th day card — in a multi-division cup race over 1000 metres. The book makes
Chaman its Fav ourite at 8-2, conceding 14 pounds to the top weight in a term
event. Across this entire meeting, the lesson that has emerged most
consistently is that top-weighted horses in cup races win — Jim And Tonic at
9-2 won the QE II Challenge Cup, Chasing Eden dominated the April Cup and May
Cup, Emerging Star at 9-2 won as the promoted Fav ourite on the 36th day. Mayya
fits that profile precisely and is my Fav ourite without hesitation.
Chaman is my
Place — the book's faith in it is not
without logic, and in a cup it will be competitive and Place . Cinderella's
Dream at 8-10 is my Fluke — second
highest weight in the field, a horse trending upward through the divisions, and
the Summer Cup distance of 1000m gives it more opportunity than a sprint to
express its ability.
Race 5 —
Class VII Div V, 900m, Field of 8 · 9:20 PM
The
evening's finale features a fascinating rematch of familiar names. Absolutely
Not carries 9-0 — top weight — and has form as a shock winner earlier in this
season. The book makes it the Fluke and
Zaman Sahib the Fav ourite. The argument here follows the same logic applied
throughout: Absolutely Not's top weight deserves respect, particularly as Zaman
Sahib's win on the 36th day will have drawn attention from both the handicapper
and the market. A horse returning after a publicised victory, now facing rivals
who know exactly what it did, is vulnerable. Fakhar-e-Sardar is the one
consistent selection that both book and personal analysis agree on — a reliable
Place performer throughout the season.
Zaman Sahib drops to my Fluke : it remains quality enough to feature, just not
necessarily as the outright winner a second time.
