38th day — LRC full race-by-race analysis

 

38th Day — Lahore Winter Meeting 2025–26 Sunday, 24th May 2026 · Five Races · All Class VII ·

 

Asher Butt

Sunday, 24th May 2026  |  5 Races  |  All Class VII  |  First Race 7:00 PM

Race 1 · 7:00 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden — New Entrants) — 1000mMaiden

Field of 11

No Book Prediction all new entrants

My Fav Chahal King

My Place Gondal's Height

My Fluke Lex Lugar

My reasoning — purely on weights

A pure new entrants maiden over 1000m — no form whatsoever to consult and no book prediction provided. The weights are the only guide. Chahal King and Gondal's Height both carry 9-0, the joint top weight in the field, and that allocation in a new entrants race typically reflects the trainer's confidence and the horse's physical development. Between the two, Chahal King gets the nod as my Fav ourite on the draw and gate position. Gondal's Height is my Place  — sharing top weight, it has equal claim to feature. Lex Lugar at 8-12 sits just below the top pair and carries enough weight to suggest substance without the full burden — a classic Fluke  profile in a maiden. Roxy (8-11) and Quiz (8-10) are also respected in a wide-open heat.

1	Chahal King (9-0)	My Fav  — joint top wt
2	Gondal's Height (9-0)	My Place  — joint top wt
3	Roxy (8-11)
4	Quiz (8-10)
5	Mohtarma (8-7)
6	Barbaro (8-10)
7	Mumraiz The Great (8-2)
8	Hassan Star (8-0)
9	Bilal One (7-10)
10	Fateh One (7-10)
11	Lex Lugar (8-12)	My Fluke  — 3rd highest wt

Race 2 · 7:35 PM Class VII Div VI & VII (Maiden) — 1000mMaiden

Field of 8

Book Fav Sea Of Class

Book Place Princess Arooj

Book Fluke Power Up

My Fav Mirza Prince

My Place Dogar Choice

My Fluke Sea Of Class

My reasoning

Sea Of Class has now been the book's Fav ourite across three consecutive meetings without winning — it ran second on the 36th day but has yet to obligate as the market leader. The book persists with it, and while that loyalty is not without logic, the weight argument pulls against it here. Mirza Prince carries 9-0 — outright top weight in an eight-horse maiden — and in a 1000m maiden that carries the strongest signal available. My Fav ourite is Mirza Prince. Dogar Choice at 8-11 is the second highest weight and has the profile of a consistent Place r in maiden company — my Place . Sea Of Class at 8-2 drops to my Fluke ; the book's persistent faith means it cannot be ignored entirely, but three meetings as Fav ourite without winning demands a demotion in assessment.

1	Mirza Prince (9-0)	My Fav  — top weight
2	Dogar Choice (8-11)	My Place  — 2nd highest wt
3	Power Up (8-6)	Book Fluke
4	Princess Arooj (7-12)	Book Place
5	Sea Of Class (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Fluke
6	Good Boy (7-10)
7	Shera Choice (8-0)
8	Miller (8-0)

Race 3 · 8:10 PM Class VII Div V, VI & VII — 1000m

Field of 13

Book Fav Construct Craft

Book Place Piyari

Book Fluke Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Fav Fakhar-e-Sardar

My Place Construct Craft

My Fluke Zindagi

My reasoning

Fakhar-e-Sardar (9-2) carries the outright top weight in a thirteen-horse field — a very emphatic allocation in a multi-division race over 1000m. The book lists it as Fluke ; personal analysis promotes it directly to Fav ourite. This is the same argument applied successfully to Emerging Star (9-2) on the 36th day — that race's top weight won from the book's Fluke  position. History is repeating the pattern. Construct Craft is a reliable performer and the book's Fav ourite; it drops to my Place  — it will compete but the weight concession to Fakhar-e-Sardar is considerable. Zindagi (8-2) is a horse that has appeared on multiple cards in this division; in a thirteen-runner field it can sneak into the frame as my Fluke .

1	Fakhar-e-Sardar (9-2)	Book Fluke  / My Fav  — top wt
2	Sher Dil (8-12)
3	Fayyum (7-8)
4	Construct Craft (8-2)	Book Fav  / My Place
5	Piyari (8-2)	Book Place
6	Lucky Macs (8-2)
7	Zindagi (8-2)	My Fluke
8	Construct Craft (7-12)
9	Zindagi (8-10)
10	Silent Melody (7-8)
11	Gallop In Glory (7-8)
12	Gallop In Glory (7-8)
13	King Asia (8-10)

Race 4 · 8:45 PM Class VII Div II & III — 1000m

Field of 7 (+4)

Book Fav Sarkar Raj

Book Place Pakiza

Book Fluke Samore City

My Fav Samore City

My Place Sarkar Raj

My Fluke Ustrana Love

My reasoning

Samore City (8-6) is the book's Fluke  but it Place d in the Summer Cup last time — a horse that competed in the cup race and ran into a placing has class to spare over Division II & III company. The book Place d it as Fluke  after a cup run; I elevate it to Fav ourite. Sarkar Raj won in the Summer Cup from a complete outsider position and now returns to its natural division — a cup winner dropping back into class races is always a strong force, making it my Place . Pakiza (8-4) is the book's Place  and a consistent runner; Ustrana Love (8-2) has been running in this company and is my Fluke  — in a seven-horse field the unexpected can always emerge.

1	Samore City (8-6)	Book Fluke  / My Fav
2	Sarkar Raj (8-4)	Book Fav  / My Place
3	Pakiza (8-4)	Book Place
4	Falco (8-6)
5	Ustrana Love (8-2)	My Fluke
6	Metro Queen (8-0)
7	Little Master (8-0)	+4

Race 5 · 9:20 PM Class VII Div IV & V — 1000m

Field of 8

Book Fav Absolutely Not

Book Place Raja The Great

Book Fluke Haseeb Warrior

My Fav Taj Mahal

My Place Absolutely Not

My Fluke Zaman Sahib

My reasoning

Taj Mahal (9-0) carries the outright top weight in this eight-horse Division IV & V field. The book makes Absolutely Not (8-6) its Fav ourite — a 6-pound concession to the top weight over 1000m. Taj Mahal has not featured prominently in the book's selections but the weight allocation is unambiguous. My Fav ourite is Taj Mahal. Absolutely Not has been a consistent performer and narrowly missed in the 37th day as my own Fav ourite — it drops to my Place  rather than being abandoned. Zaman Sahib (8-6) is the three-time recent winner of this meeting — consecutive victories on the 36th and 37th days — and the book now Place s it as an afterthought in Fluke  territory. That winning momentum over 1000m cannot be ignored, making it my Fluke . A horse that has won back-to-back rarely stops at two.

1	Taj Mahal (9-0)	My Fav  — outright top wt
2	Absolutely Not (8-6)	Book Fav  / My Place
3	Zaman Sahib (8-6)	My Fluke  — 2× winner
4	Raja The Great (8-2)	Book Place
5	Zaid Prince (8-2)
6	Bellatrix (8-4)
7	Haseeb Warrior (7-10)	Book Fluke
8	Absolutely Not (7-10)

 

---

Race 1 — Class VII Div VI & VII New Entrants Maiden, 1000m, Field of 11 · 7:00 PM

A pure new entrants maiden is the most speculative race on any card — no horse has run before, no form exists, and the weights alone must carry the entire analytical burden. With no book prediction provided for this race, the exercise becomes a clean weight-reading exercise. Chahal King and Gondal's Height share the joint top weight of 9-0 in an eleven-horse field. In a first-career race over 1000 metres, the trainer's decision to present a horse at maximum weight typically reflects physical maturity and readiness — these are the two horses that connections and the handicapper believe are most developed. Chahal King gets the slight nod as my Fav ourite based on gate position; Gondal's Height is the Place . Lex Lugar at 8-12 sits just below the joint top pair and is the natural Fluke  selection — third highest weight, sufficient bulk to compete, but carrying enough of a concession to be the overlooked candidate. The danger zone in any new entrants race is the mid-weight horses between 8-4 and 8-7, which can outrun both the heavily burdened leaders and the lightweights — Roxy (8-11) and Barbaro (8-10) both merit watching.

Race 2 — Class VII Div VI & VII Maiden, 1000m, Field of 8 · 7:35 PM

Sea Of Class has now been the book's maiden Fav ourite across the 35th, 36th, and 37th days consecutively. It ran second on the 36th day — the closest it has come — but has yet to win from the top market position. Three successive meetings as Fav ourite without a win is a meaningful data point, and the weight argument here makes the demotion straightforward. Mirza Prince carries 9-0, the outright top weight in an eight-horse maiden, and must be the Fav ourite on that basis alone. Dogar Choice at 8-11 is a clear second, carrying enough weight to suggest the handicapper rates it highly for a maiden. Sea Of Class at 8-2 concedes seven pounds to Mirza Prince over 1000 metres — that is a substantial ask without a previous winning run to prove it can overcome such a deficit. It becomes my Fluke  — the book's persistent faith across three meetings cannot be entirely dismissed, but as Fav ourite it has had its chances. Power Up, the book's Fluke  at 8-6, is also live in what remains a genuinely competitive eight-horse maiden.

Race 3 — Class VII Div V, VI & VII, 1000m, Field of 13 · 8:10 PM

The biggest field of the day at thirteen runners across three divisions, and the standout analytical call of the card. Fakhar-e-Sardar carries 9-2 — the outright top weight in the field, a full 10 pounds clear of most of the mid-field. The book calls it the Fluke . This is precisely the same scenario that played out on the 36th day when Emerging Star carried 9-2 as the book's Fluke  and personal analysis elevated it to Fav ourite — it won outright. The pattern across this entire meeting has been consistent: when a horse carries significantly more weight than its market position suggests, the handicapper is right and the book is wrong. Fakhar-e-Sardar has also been finishing in the Place d positions across multiple meetings — second in Race 2 on the 35th day as my promoted Fav ourite, third on the 33rd day — and the consistent near-miss form combined with top weight now makes it the strongest selection on the card. Construct Craft is a reliable Division VI performer and becomes my Place . Zindagi in a thirteen-horse field at 8-2 is the natural Fluke  — enough weight to compete, overlooked enough to surprise.

Race 4 — Class VII Div II & III, 1000m, Field of 7 (+4) · 8:45 PM

Race 4 features two horses with strong recent form credentials. Sarkar Raj won the Summer Cup from a completely unexpected position last week — a horse that wins a cup race from outside all predictions then drops back into its natural division is a formidable proposition. However the book installs it as Fav ourite, and when the market has already fully recognised a horse's recent cup win, the price and expectation may not match the reality of returning to class company. Samore City Place d in that same Summer Cup and brings cup-race fitness into a Division II & III field — the book calls it the Fluke , but a horse with cup credibility in this company is far more than a Fluke . My Fav ourite is Samore City; Sarkar Raj becomes my Place . Ustrana Love is my Fluke  — consistent enough at this level to gate-crash the frame in a relatively small field.

Race 5 — Class VII Div IV & V, 1000m, Field of 8 · 9:20 PM

The evening finale features the most compelling weight case on the entire card. Taj Mahal carries 9-0 — the outright top weight in an eight-horse Division IV & V race over 1000 metres. The book makes Absolutely Not (8-6) its Fav ourite, conceding six pounds to the top weight. That concession over a full kilometre in this division is the book's most questionable call of the day. Taj Mahal is my Fav ourite without reservation.

The subplot here is Zaman Sahib, which has won back-to-back races on the 36th and 37th days — a remarkable consecutive winning streak. The book now quietly lists it as a Fluke , almost as if embarrassed by its own underestimation. A horse that has won two races in succession over the same trip deserves more than Fluke  status, and it becomes my Fluke  with the full expectation that it will feature in the frame. Absolutely Not, which was my own promoted Fav ourite on the 37th day and ran second behind Zaman Sahib, drops neatly to my Place  — it is the consistent second force in this division and should Place  again. The race between Taj Mahal, Absolutely Not, and Zaman Sahib should produce the most competitive finish of the day.