Predictions
for 23rd Lahore Winter Meeting - Sunday, February 8th, 2026
LEARNING
FROM LAST WEEK'S RESULTS
Asher Butt
Key Lessons
Applied:
- ✅ Experience overunbeaten records -
Horses with losses but wins (8-10, 8-12) outperformed perfect records
- ✅ Maiden races are unpredictable -
Expect surprises
- ✅ Tactical factors matter - Post
position, closing ability, rail runs
- ✅ Quality of competition counts -
Not just win-loss records
Race-by-Race
Predictions
Race 1 -
Class VII Division-VI&VII (Maiden) - 1100m - 1:00 PM
Complete
Field: True My Love 9-0, Raees Sahib 6 (8-10), Altaf Star 4 (8-10), Singhar 7
(8-6), Majesty 4 (8-0), Babbar Sher 3 (7-13), Abdullah Pasur 5 (7-10), Fateh
One 2 (7-8)
Book
Predictions:
- Favourite: Majesty
- Place: Altaf Star
- Fluke: Babbar Sher
My
Predictions:
- Favourite: Altaf Star (4) - 8-10
record shows real experience
- Place: Raees Sahib (6) - 8-10,
equally experienced
- Fluke: Singhar (7) - 8-6 balanced
record
Analysis
& Reasoning:
- Why I disagree with book: Last week
taught us maiden races are chaos, AND Majesty (8-0) actually ran SECOND in
Race 1 last week, proving unbeaten records don't guarantee wins in maidens
- Altaf Star & Raees Sahib both
have 8-10 records - they've won races AND learned from losses
- True My Love (9-0) looks dangerous
on paper but unbeaten records failed 4 times last week
- Distance change to 1100m (from
1000m last week) may suit different horses
- Lesson applied: Experience with
losses beats perfection in maidens
Confidence
Level: 🟡 LOW (It's a maiden race - expect
surprises!)
Race 2 -
Class VII Division-VI&VII - 1100m - 1:35 PM
Complete
Field: Latin Strom 8 (9-0), Anni Power 4 (9-0), Zaman Sahib 4 (9-0), Augustus 6 (8-10), Barrister 5
(8-8), Self Belief 4 (8-0), Gifts of Gold 3 (7-10), Khizer Choice 10 (7-10), I
Shall Lead 2 (7-10), American Star 7 (7-10)
Book
Predictions:
- Favourite: Anni Power
- Place: Augustus
- Fluke: Barrister
My
Predictions:
- Favourite: Augustus (6) - 8-10
record AND WON LAST WEEK Race 1!
- Place: Barrister (5) - 8-8 solid
record
- Fluke: American Star (7) - 7-10,
could surprise
Analysis
& Reasoning:
- CRITICAL INSIGHT: Augustus WON last
week as an upset! Form is hot right now
- Latin Strom (9-0) & Zaman Sahib
(9-0) - Two unbeaten horses, but remember Zaman Sahib FAILED last week in
Race 2 despite 9-0 record
- Applying last week's lesson:
Unbeaten records failed in 4/8 races. Augustus has proven race fitness
- Distance: Same 1100m (adjusted from
1000m)
- Self Belief (8-0) - Another
unbeaten horse but untested
Key Factor:
Augustus has momentum from last week's surprise win. In horse racing, current
form > historical record.
Confidence
Level: 🟢 MEDIUM-HIGH (Augustus has proven form)
Race 3 -
Class VII Division-V&VI - 1100m - 2:10 PM
Complete
Field: Shahan Shah 6 (9-0), Royal Stone 7 (8-10), Bodrum 4 (8-8), Lex Lugar 3
(8-8), Zaman Sahib 2 (8-6), Pakiza Power 8 (8-0), Malfnood Akbar 1 (8-8),
Malfnood JR 5 (7-12)
Book
Predictions:
- Favourite: Bodrum
- Place: Shahan Shah
- Fluke: Lex Lugar
My
Predictions:
- Favourite: Lex Lugar (3) - 8-8 AND
WON LAST WEEK Race 2 as major upset!
- Place: Royal Stone (7) - 8-10
consistent performer
- Fluke: Malfnood JR (5) - 7-12, won
2nd place last week
Analysis
& Reasoning:
- MAJOR FACTOR: Lex Lugar WON last
week Race 2 despite being "fluke" - "muscled his way to win
circle"
- Malfnood JR placed 2nd last week
(surprise), showing current form
- Shahan Shah (9-0) - Unbeaten but
we've seen this fail repeatedly
- Royal Stone (8-10) - Experienced,
solid place contender
- Hot form beats cold form: Two
horses from last week's Race 2 (winner + placer) are in this race
Confidence
Level: 🟢 MEDIUM-HIGH (Recent race winners have
edge)
Race 4 -
Khalid Bin Waleed Cup Class-VII Division-I - 1100m - 2:45 PM ⭐
Complete
Field: Moni Prince 6 (9-0), Sikander 2 (8-12), Brigadier 5 (8-12), Winz 2
(8-11), Princess Barcelona 3 (8-6), Specialist 7 (8-4), Golden Heart 8 (7-12)
Book
Predictions:
- Favourite: Sikander
- Place: Moni Prince
- Fluke: Princess Barcelona
My
Predictions:
- Favourite: Moni Prince (6) - 9-0
BUT ALSO WON LAST WEEK Race 8 as upset!
- Place: Sikander (2) - 8-12
experienced runner
- Fluke: Winz (2) - 8-11 balanced
record
Analysis
& Reasoning:
- GAME CHANGER: Moni Prince
"routed rivals in finale" last week - won Race 8 despite being
upset pick
- This is different from other 9-0
horses: Moni Prince has NOW proven himself in actual competition
- Specialist (8-4) - Could be
dangerous given tactical racing matters
- Sikander (8-12) - Experience
counts, good place bet
- Cup race: Usually competitive,
expect quality field
This is the
strongest pick of the day due to proven recent form.
Confidence
Level: 🟢 HIGH (Recent race winner with quality)
Race 5 -
Class VII Division-II&III - 1100m - 3:20 PM
Complete
Field: Khokhar One 6 (8-12), Deep Seek 3 (8-10), Golden Choice 8 (8-10), Crown
Pharoah 5 (8-6), Dubawi's Dream 7 (8-5), Peelo Wains 4 (8-1), Luckivir 2 (7-10)
Book
Predictions:
- Favourite: Deep Seek
- Place: Peelo Wains
- Fluke: Khokhar One
My
Predictions:
- Favourite: Khokhar One (6) - 8-12
AND placed 3rd last week Race 8
- Place: Golden Choice (8) - 8-10,
failed in Shalimar Cup but still quality
- Fluke: Deep Seek (3) - 8-10 could
win if in form
Analysis
& Reasoning:
- Khokhar One showed up last week in
competitive Race 8 finale
- Golden Choice (8-10) failed in
featured Shalimar Cup but dropping in class here
- Deep Seek (8-10) - Book favorite,
solid record
- Peelo Wains (8-1) - Very limited
experience, risky place bet
- This is competitive: Multiple 8-10
horses, could go any way
Confidence
Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Competitive field, multiple
contenders)
Race 6 -
Class VII Division-IV - 1100m - 3:55 PM
Complete
Field: Princess Anaya(Krc)2 (9-0), Zarbi 3 (9-0), Shareeka 4 (8-12), Rutba 6
(8-6), Imperius 7 (8-6), Paddington 5 (8-0), (+4 All)
Book
Predictions:
- Favourite: Shareeka
- Place: Imperius
- Fluke: Zarbi
My
Predictions:
- Favourite: Shareeka (4) - 8-12
experienced horse
- Place: Imperius (7) - 8-6 AND
placed 2nd last week Race 3 as surprise!
- Fluke: Rutba (6) - 8-6 balanced
Analysis
& Reasoning:
- Imperius was surprise 2nd place
last week in Race 3 - current form matters
- Princess Anaya (9-0) & Zarbi
(9-0) - Two unbeaten horses but we know the pattern
- Shareeka (8-12) - Most experienced,
book agrees
- (+4 All) means MORE horses = MORE
unpredictability
- Last week lesson: More horses in
field = more chaos
Confidence
Level: 🟡 MEDIUM (Large field makes prediction
harder)
SUMMARY
COMPARISON: Book vs My Predictions
|
Race |
Book
Favourite |
My
Favourite |
Key
Difference |
|
1 |
Majesty
(8-0) |
Altaf Star
(8-10) |
Experience
over unbeaten |
|
2 |
"Anni
Power" |
Augustus
(8-10) |
Augustus
WON last week |
|
3 |
"Board
Room" |
Lex Lugar
(8-8) |
Lex Lugar
WON last week |
|
4 |
Sikander
(8-12) |
Moni
Prince (9-0) |
Moni
Prince WON last week |
|
5 |
Deep Seek
(8-10) |
Khokhar
One (8-12) |
Recent
form edge |
|
6 |
Shareeka
(8-12) |
Shareeka
(8-12) |
AGREE |
MY BEST BETS
OF THE DAY
🔥 STRONGEST PICKS:
- Moni Prince (Race 4) - Won last
week + Cup race + proven quality
- Augustus (Race 2) - Won last week
as upset, has momentum
- Lex Lugar (Race 3) - Won last week,
current hot form
💎 VALUE PICKS (Flukes that could win):
- Imperius (Race 6) - Placed 2nd last
week as surprise
- Malfnood JR (Race 3) - Placed 2nd
last week
- Barrister (Race 2) - 8-8 solid
record
⚠️ AVOID/RISKY:
- All unbeaten horses without recent
racing - Failed pattern
- Maiden race favourites - Too
unpredictable
- True My Love, Latin Strom, Zaman
Sahib - Unbeaten but unproven
STRATEGIC
APPROACH BASED ON LAST WEEK
What I'm
Prioritizing:
✅ Horses that raced last week - We know their current form
✅ Recent
winners - Augustus, Lex Lugar, Moni Prince
✅ Recent
placers - Imperius, Malfnood JR, Khokhar One
✅ Experience
(8-10, 8-12 records) over perfect records
✅ Tactical
awareness - Distance changes (1000m → 1100m)
What I'm
Avoiding:
❌ Unbeaten records without recent proof
❌ Overconfidence
in maiden races
❌ Horses
dropping significantly from featured races
❌ Large
fields (+4 All) without strong recent form
PREDICTION
CONFIDENCE LEVELS
🟢 HIGH CONFIDENCE:
- Race 4: Moni Prince (recent winner)
- Race 2: Augustus (recent winner)
- Race 3: Lex Lugar (recent winner)
🟡 MEDIUM CONFIDENCE:
- Race 5: Khokhar One (recent placer)
- Race 6: Shareeka (experience +
Imperius place)
🔴 LOW CONFIDENCE (Expect Surprises):
- Race 1: Maiden race - anything can
happen
FINAL
THOUGHTS
This week's
card is DIFFERENT because we have actual recent form data. Three horses won
last week and are racing again:
- Augustus (won R1 last week) →
Racing R2 this week
- Lex Lugar (won R2 last week) →
Racing R3 this week
- Moni Prince (won R8 last week) →
Racing R4 this week
These three
horses have PROVEN themselves in actual competition just 7 days ago. This is
the most valuable data we have.
The biggest
lesson from last week: Form shown in actual races > Historical records
Prediction:
Expect at least 2 of these 3 recent winners to perform well again.
